The attribution question

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Understanding how the overall risks of extreme events are changing in a warming world requires both a thermodynamic perspective and an understanding of changes in the atmospheric circulation.

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Figure 1: Simple chaotic Lorenz 1963 model with added forcing.
Figure 2: Return time plots for the maximum four-day precipitation average during May–Jun for the upper Elbe catchment.

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Correspondence to Friederike E. L. Otto.

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Otto, F., van Oldenborgh, G., Eden, J. et al. The attribution question. Nature Clim Change 6, 813–816 (2016) doi:10.1038/nclimate3089

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