Skip to main content

Thank you for visiting nature.com. You are using a browser version with limited support for CSS. To obtain the best experience, we recommend you use a more up to date browser (or turn off compatibility mode in Internet Explorer). In the meantime, to ensure continued support, we are displaying the site without styles and JavaScript.

  • News & Views
  • Published:

Psychology

When very likely is not so likely

Nature Climate Change volume 4, pages 421–422 (2014)Cite this article

Subjects

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has issued guidelines for communicating probabilities with words, but readers all over the world think the words mean something different.

This is a preview of subscription content, access via your institution

Access options

Buy this article

  • Purchase on Springer Link
  • Instant access to full article PDF
Buy now

Prices may be subject to local taxes which are calculated during checkout

References

  1. Budescu, D. V. et al. Nature Clim. Change 4, 508–512 (2014).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. Tversky, A. & Kahneman, D. Science 185, 1124–1131 (1974).

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  3. Erev, I. & Cohen, B. L. Organization. Behav. Hum. Decision Proc. 45, 1–18 (1990).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Budescu, D. V. & Wallsten, T. S. Psychol. Learn. Motiv. 32, 275–318 (1995).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Brun, W. & Teigen, K. H. Organization. Behav. Hum. Decision Proc. 41, 390–404 (1988).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Amer, T., Hackenbrack, K. & Nelson, M. Auditing: J. Prac. Theor. 13, 126–136 (1994).

    Google Scholar 

  7. Budescu, D. V., Broomell, S. B. & Por, H. H. Psychol. Sci. 20, 299–308 (2009).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Theil, M. J. Risk Res. 5, 177–186 (2012).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Teigen, K. H. & Brun, W. Organization. Behav. Hum. Decision Proc. 80, 155–190 (1999).

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  10. Juanchich, M., Teigen, K. H. & Villejoubert, G. Acta Psychologica 135, 267–277 (2010).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Fløttum, K. & Dahl, T. Fachsprache 3–4, 205–219 (2011).

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Karl Halvor Teigen is in the Department of Psychology, University of Oslo, PB 1094 Blindern, NO-0317, Oslo, Norway and at the Simula Research Laboratory, Martin Linges vei 17, 1364 Fornebu, Norway,

    Karl Halvor Teigen

Authors
  1. Karl Halvor Teigen
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Karl Halvor Teigen.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Teigen, K. When very likely is not so likely. Nature Clim Change 4, 421–422 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2256

Download citation

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2256

Search

Advanced search

Quick links

Nature Briefing

Sign up for the Nature Briefing newsletter — what matters in science, free to your inbox daily.

Get the most important science stories of the day, free in your inbox. Sign up for Nature Briefing