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A quantitative evaluation of the public response to climate engineering

Abstract

Atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations continue to increase, with CO2 passing 400 parts per million in May 2013. To avoid severe climate change and the attendant economic and social dislocation, existing energy efficiency and emissions control initiatives may need support from some form of climate engineering. As climate engineering will be controversial, there is a pressing need to inform the public and understand their concerns before policy decisions are taken. So far, engagement has been exploratory, small-scale or technique-specific. We depart from past research to draw on the associative methods used by corporations to evaluate brands. A systematic, quantitative and comparative approach for evaluating public reaction to climate engineering is developed. Its application reveals that the overall public evaluation of climate engineering is negative. Where there are positive associations they favour carbon dioxide removal (CDR) over solar radiation management (SRM) techniques. Therefore, as SRM techniques become more widely known they are more likely to elicit negative reactions. Two climate engineering techniques, enhanced weathering and cloud brightening, have indistinct concept images and so are less likely to draw public attention than other CDR or SRM techniques.

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Figure 1: Sample concept maps for New Zealand.
Figure 2: Summary of all concept maps.

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Acknowledgements

This work was supported by the Massey University Research Fund (M.J.W.) and NERC grant NE/I006311/1 (D.A.H.T.). Thanks to M. Comrie, P. Gendall and L. Stocchi for helpful and thought-provoking suggestions.

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Contributions

D.A.H.T. conceived of the project, advised on the climate engineering concepts and contributed to writing. M.J.W. developed the research design, raised funds and undertook analysis and writing. P.M.F. managed the fieldwork and contributed to analysis and writing.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Malcolm J. Wright.

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The authors declare no competing financial interests.

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Wright, M., Teagle, D. & Feetham, P. A quantitative evaluation of the public response to climate engineering. Nature Clim Change 4, 106–110 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2087

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