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Overstretching attribution

The biological world is responding rapidly to a changing climate, but attempts to attribute individual impacts to rising greenhouse gases are ill-advised.

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Figure 1: Attribution and scale.

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Acknowledgements

This paper was motivated by discussions and decisions surrounding the IPCC Expert Meeting on Detection and Attribution Related to Climate Change, held in Geneva, September 2009, and subsequently developed by a subset of members of the Marine Climate Change Impacts Working Group at the National Centre for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis.

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Correspondence to Camille Parmesan.

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Parmesan, C., Duarte, C., Poloczanska, E. et al. Overstretching attribution. Nature Clim Change 1, 2–4 (2011). https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1056

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