Abstract
Lead generation is a major hurdle in small-molecule drug discovery, with an estimated 60% of projects failing from lack of lead matter or difficulty in optimizing leads for drug-like properties. It would be valuable to identify these less-druggable targets before incurring substantial expenditure and effort. Here we show that a model-based approach using basic biophysical principles yields good prediction of druggability based solely on the crystal structure of the target binding site. We quantitatively estimate the maximal affinity achievable by a drug-like molecule, and we show that these calculated values correlate with drug discovery outcomes. We experimentally test two predictions using high-throughput screening of a diverse compound collection. The collective results highlight the utility of our approach as well as strategies for tackling difficult targets.
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Acknowledgements
We thank colleagues across Pfizer Global R&D for discussions, and Jill Milne and Ralph Lambalot for supporting the HTS experiment. A.C.C. additionally thanks Ken Dill for advice. This work was entirely funded by Pfizer.
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A.C.C. developed the method, designed experiments and analyzed data and wrote the manuscript; R.G.C. developed computational geometry algorithms and analyzed data; K.T.S. helped design the HTS experiment, performed screening for HSD, and analyzed results of the screening comparison; P.S. helped design the HTS experiment, developed the H-PGDS assay and performed screening; Q.C. and D.R.C. helped analyze data for Figures 1 and 3a; A.C.S. helped implement computational methods; E.S.H. discussed results and helped design the HTS experiment. All authors reviewed the manuscript.
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The authors declare no competing financial interests.
Supplementary information
Supplementary Table 1
Details of targets used in study.
Supplementary Table 2
References and notes for best affinity values.
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Cheng, A., Coleman, R., Smyth, K. et al. Structure-based maximal affinity model predicts small-molecule druggability. Nat Biotechnol 25, 71–75 (2007). https://doi.org/10.1038/nbt1273
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/nbt1273
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