Predicting soil carbon loss with warming


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Figure 1: The change in soil carbon per degree of warming per year is not a function of carbon stock size.
Figure 2: Location of field warming studies used in our analyses.


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Author information




N.v.G. extracted data from the literature and constructed the database. L.C.A., J.S.D., M.J.H., A.M., E.P., P.B.R, E.A.G.S., and B.A.H supplied non-published data from specific field warming experiments, Z.S., K.J.v.G., C.W.O. and Y.L. provided feedback on data analysis, N.v.G. performed the data analysis and wrote the manuscript draft. All authors contributed to interpretation of the findings and final writing of the manuscript.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Natasja van Gestel.

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Competing interests

The authors declare no competing financial interests.

Extended data figures and tables

Extended Data Figure 1 Results of a meta-analysis on the change in soil carbon per degree of warming per year.

The average response of soil carbon per degree of warming per year is not significantly different from zero (zero is within the 95% confidence interval of the mean) for the dataset used in Crowther et al.1 or for our dataset. See Supplementary Information for details.

Supplementary information

Supplementary Information

This file contains Supplementary Methods, Supplementary Tables 1-3, Supplementary Figures 1-2, Supplementary References and the R codes. (PDF 1794 kb)

Supplementary Data 1

This file contains the main data file to be used with the R code. (CSV 11 kb)

Supplementary Data 2

This file contains Supplementary Data regarding bulk density and soil organic matter. (CSV 3 kb)

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van Gestel, N., Shi, Z., van Groenigen, K. et al. Predicting soil carbon loss with warming. Nature 554, E4–E5 (2018).

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