Abstract
Resilience, a system’s ability to adjust its activity to retain its basic functionality when errors, failures and environmental changes occur, is a defining property of many complex systems1. Despite widespread consequences for human health2, the economy3 and the environment4, events leading to loss of resilience—from cascading failures in technological systems5 to mass extinctions in ecological networks6—are rarely predictable and are often irreversible. These limitations are rooted in a theoretical gap: the current analytical framework of resilience is designed to treat low-dimensional models with a few interacting components7, and is unsuitable for multi-dimensional systems consisting of a large number of components that interact through a complex network. Here we bridge this theoretical gap by developing a set of analytical tools with which to identify the natural control and state parameters of a multi-dimensional complex system, helping us derive effective one-dimensional dynamics that accurately predict the system’s resilience. The proposed analytical framework allows us systematically to separate the roles of the system’s dynamics and topology, collapsing the behaviour of different networks onto a single universal resilience function. The analytical results unveil the network characteristics that can enhance or diminish resilience, offering ways to prevent the collapse of ecological, biological or economic systems, and guiding the design of technological systems resilient to both internal failures and environmental changes.
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Acknowledgements
We thank A. Mohan, S. E. Flynn and A. R. Ganguly for discussions. This work was supported by an Army Research Laboratories Network Science Collaborative Technology Alliance grant (ARL NS-CTA W911NF-09-2-0053), by The John Templeton Foundation: Mathematical and Physical Sciences (grant number PFI-777), by The Defense Threat Reduction Agency (basic research grant number HDTRA1-10-1-0100) and by the European Commission (grant numbers FP7317532 (MULTIPLEX) and 641191 (CIMPLEX)).
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All authors designed and did the research. J.G. and B.B. did the analytical calculations. J.G. analysed the empirical data and did the numerical calculations. A.-L.B. and B.B. were the lead writers of the manuscript.
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The authors declare no competing financial interests.
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All code for the reproduction of the reported results can be downloaded from https://github.com/jianxigao/NuRsE.
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Supplementary Information
This file contains Supplementary Text sections 1-6, Supplementary References, Supplementary Figures 1-19 and Supplementary Tables 1-5. (PDF 30152 kb)
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Gao, J., Barzel, B. & Barabási, AL. Universal resilience patterns in complex networks. Nature 530, 307–312 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1038/nature16948
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/nature16948
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