Abstract
Replying to E. Hawkins et al. Nature 511, 10.1038/nature13523 (2014)
In the accompanying Comment, Hawkins et al.1 suggest that our index2 of the projected timing of climate departure from recent variability is biased to occur too early and is given with overestimated confidence. We contest their assertions and maintain that our findings are conservative and remain unaltered in light of their analysis.
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References
Hawkins, E. et al. Uncertainties in the timing of unprecedented climates. Nature 511, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nature13523 (2014)
Mora, C. et al. The projected timing of climate departure from recent variability. Nature 502, 183–187 (2013)
Deser, C., Knutti, R., Solomon, S. & Phillips, A. S. Communication of the role of natural variability in future North American climate. Nature Clim. Change 2, 775–779 (2012)
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Mora, C., Frazier, A., Longman, R. et al. Mora et al. reply. Nature 511, E5–E6 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1038/nature13524
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/nature13524
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