Extended Data Table 1 Evaluation of simulations of observed global annual-mean temperature and its trend.

From: Recent global-warming hiatus tied to equatorial Pacific surface cooling

  1. All data are based on ensemble-mean values. Correlations and root-mean-square errors are evaluated for 1970–2012 with respect to observations. The trends are significantly different between the experiments at P < 0.01 (2002–2012) and P < 0.05 (1971–1997) on the basis of Student’s t-test applied for the ensembles.