Abstract
Legislation on biofuels production in the USA1 and Europe2,3 is directing food crops towards the production of grain-based ethanol2,3, which can have detrimental consequences for soil carbon sequestration4, nitrous oxide emissions5, nitrate pollution6, biodiversity7 and human health8. An alternative is to grow lignocellulosic (cellulosic) crops on ‘marginal’ lands9. Cellulosic feedstocks can have positive environmental outcomes10,11 and could make up a substantial proportion of future energy portfolios12,13. However, the availability of marginal lands for cellulosic feedstock production, and the resulting greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, remains uncertain. Here we evaluate the potential for marginal lands in ten Midwestern US states to produce sizeable amounts of biomass and concurrently mitigate GHG emissions. In a comparative assessment of six alternative cropping systems over 20 years, we found that successional herbaceous vegetation, once well established, has a direct GHG emissions mitigation capacity that rivals that of purpose-grown crops (−851 ± 46 grams of CO2 equivalent emissions per square metre per year (gCO2e m−2 yr−1)). If fertilized, these communities have the capacity to produce about 63 ± 5 gigajoules of ethanol energy per hectare per year. By contrast, an adjacent, no-till corn–soybean–wheat rotation produces on average 41 ± 1 gigajoules of biofuel energy per hectare per year and has a net direct mitigation capacity of −397 ± 32 gCO2e m−2 yr−1; a continuous corn rotation would probably produce about 62 ± 7 gigajoules of biofuel energy per hectare per year, with 13% less mitigation. We also perform quantitative modelling of successional vegetation on marginal lands in the region at a resolution of 0.4 hectares, constrained by the requirement that each modelled location be within 80 kilometres of a potential biorefinery. Our results suggest that such vegetation could produce about 21 gigalitres of ethanol per year from around 11 million hectares, or approximately 25 per cent of the 2022 target for cellulosic biofuel mandated by the US Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007, with no initial carbon debt nor the indirect land-use costs associated with food-based biofuels. Other regional-scale aspects of biofuel sustainability2, such as water quality11,14 and biodiversity15, await future study.
This is a preview of subscription content, access via your institution
Relevant articles
Open Access articles citing this article.
-
Pore architecture and particulate organic matter in soils under monoculture switchgrass and restored prairie in contrasting topography
Scientific Reports Open Access 09 November 2021
-
Conversion of marginal land into switchgrass conditionally accrues soil carbon but reduces methane consumption
The ISME Journal Open Access 01 July 2021
Access options
Subscribe to this journal
Receive 51 print issues and online access
$199.00 per year
only $3.90 per issue
Rent or buy this article
Get just this article for as long as you need it
$39.95
Prices may be subject to local taxes which are calculated during checkout



References
US 110th Congress. Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007. Public Law 110–140; http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/PLAW-110publ140/pdf/PLAW-110publ140.pdf (2007)
Robertson, G. P. et al. Sustainable biofuels redux. Science 322, 49–50 (2008)
Fischer, G. et al. Biofuel production potentials in Europe: sustainable use of cultivated land and pastures, part II. Land use scenarios. Biomass Bioenergy 34, 173–187 (2010)
Fargione, J., Hill, J., Tilman, D., Polasky, S. & Hawthorne, P. Land clearing and the biofuel carbon debt. Science 319, 1235–1238 (2008)
Crutzen, P. J., Mosier, A. R., Smith, K. A. & Winiwarter, W. N2O release from agro-biofuel production negates global warming reduction by replacing fossil fuels. Atmos. Chem. Phys. 8, 389–395 (2008)
Donner, S. D. & Kucharik, C. J. Corn-based ethanol production compromises goal of reducing nitrogen export by the Mississippi River. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 105, 4513–4518 (2008)
Landis, D. A., Gardiner, M. M., van der Werf, W. & Swinton, S. M. Increasing corn for biofuel production reduces biocontrol services in agricultural landscapes. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 105, 20552–20557 (2008)
Hill, J. Polasky, S. Nelson, E., Tilman, D. & Huo, H. Climate change and health costs of air emissions from biofuels and gasoline. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 106, 2077–2082 (2009)
Tilman, D., Hill, J. & Lehman, C. Carbon-negative biofuels from low-input high-diversity grassland biomass. Science 314, 1598–1600 (2006)
Meehan, T. D., Hurlbert, A. H. & Gratton, C. Bird communities in future bioenergy landscapes of the upper midwest. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 107, 18533–18538 (2010)
Robertson, G. P., Hamilton, S. K., Del Grosso, S. J. & Parton, W. J. The biogeochemistry of bioenergy landscapes: carbon, nitrogen, and water considerations. Ecol. Appl. 21, 1055–1067 (2011)
Perlack, R. D. et al. US Billion-Ton Update: Biomass Supply for a Bioenergy and Bioproducts Industry. Report No. ORNL/TM-2011/224 (US DOE, 2011)
Ohlrogge, J. et al. Driving on biomass. Science 324, 1019–1020 (2009)
Dominguez-Faus, R., Powers, S. E., Burken, J. G. & Alvarez, P. J. The water footprint of biofuels: a drink or drive issue? Environ. Sci. Technol. 43, 3005–3010 (2009)
Webster, C. R., Flaspohler, D. J., Jackson, R. D., Meehan, T. D. & Gratton, C. Diversity, productivity and landscape-level effects in North American grasslands managed for biomass production. Biofuels 1, 451–461 (2010)
Somerville, C., Youngs, H., Taylor, C., Davis, S. C. & Long, S. P. Feedstocks for lignocellulosic biofuels. Science 329, 790–792 (2010)
Searchinger, T. D. et al. Fixing a critical climate accounting error. Science 326, 527–528 (2009)
Plevin, R. J. & Kammen, D. M. in Encyclopedia of Biodiversity (ed. Levin, S. A. ) (Elsevier, in the press).
Gelfand, I. et al. Carbon debt of Conservation Reserve Program (CRP) grasslands converted to bioenergy production. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 108, 13864–13869 (2011)
Robertson, G. P., Paul, E. A. & Harwood, R. R. Greenhouse gases in intensive agriculture: contributions of individual gases to the radiative forcing of the atmosphere. Science 289, 1922–1925 (2000)
Syswerda, S. P., Corbin, A. T., Mokma, D. L., Kravchenko, A. N. & Robertson, G. P. Agricultural management and soil carbon storage in surface vs. deep layers. Soil Sci. Soc. Am. J. 75, 92–101 (2011)
Stoffel, J. L., Gower, S. T., Forrester, J. A. & Mladenoff, D. J. Effects of winter selective tree harvest on soil microclimate and surface CO2 flux of a northern hardwood forest. For. Ecol. Manage. 259, 257–265 (2010)
Kim, S. & Dale, B. E. Life cycle assessment of various cropping systems utilized for producing biofuels: bioethanol and biodiesel. Biomass Bioenergy 29, 426–439 (2005)
Eranki, P. L. & Dale, B. E. Comparative life cycle assessment of centralized and distributed biomass processing systems combined with mixed feedstock landscapes. GCB Bioenergy 3, 427–438 (2011)
Coleman, M. et al. Post-establishment fertilization of Minnesota hybrid poplar plantations. Biomass Bioenergy 30, 740–749 (2006)
Kosola, K., Dickmann, D., Paul, E. & Parry, D. Repeated insect defoliation effects on growth, nitrogen acquisition, carbohydrates, and root demography of poplars. Oecologia 129, 65–74 (2001)
Izaurralde, R. C., Williams, J. R., McGill, W. B., Rosenberg, N. J. & Jakas, M. C. Q. Simulating soil C dynamics with EPIC: model description and testing against long-term data. Ecol. Modell. 192, 362–384 (2006)
Zhang, X. et al. An integrative modeling framework to evaluate the productivity and sustainability of biofuel crop production systems. GCB Bioenergy 2, 258–277 (2010)
Soil. Survey Staff. Soil Survey Geographic Database. National Resources Conservation Servicehttp://soildatamart.nrcs.usda.gov (USDA, 2011)
Clark, C. M. et al. Environmental and plant community determinants of species loss following nitrogen enrichment. Ecol. Lett. 10, 596–607 (2007)
Schmer, M. R., Vogel, K. P., Mitchell, R. B. & Perrin, R. K. Net energy of cellulosic ethanol from switchgrass. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 105, 464–469 (2008)
Fornara, D. A. & Tilman, D. Ecological mechanisms associated with the positive diversity productivity relationship in an N-limited grassland. Ecology 90, 408–418 (2009)
Forster, P. et al. in Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis (eds Solomon, S. et al.) 129–234 (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2007)
West, T. O. & Marland, G. A synthesis of carbon sequestration, carbon emissions, and net carbon flux in agriculture: comparing tillage practices in the United States. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 91, 217–232 (2002)
Lal, R. Carbon emission from farm operations. Environ. Int. 30, 981–990 (2004)
Stein, D. 2008-2009 Custom Machine and Work Rate Estimates. MSUE District Farm Business Managementhttps://www.msu.edu/user/steind/ (2009)
Syswerda, S. P., Basso, B., Hamilton, S. K., Tausig, J. B. & Robertson, G. P. Long-term nitrate loss along an agricultural intensity gradient in the Upper Midwest USA. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 149, 10–19 (2012)
Huo, H., Wang, M., Bloyd, C. & Putsche, V. Life-cycle assessment of energy use and greenhouse gas emissions of soybean-derived biodiesel and renewable fuels. Environ. Sci. Technol. 43, 750–756 (2009)
Sheehan, J. et al. Life Cycle Inventory of Biodiesel and Petroleum Diesel for Use in an Urban Bus. Report No. NREL/SR-580-24089 (USDA, 1998)
Patzek, T. W. A first law thermodynamic analysis of biodiesel production from soybean. Bull. Sci. Technol. Soc. 29, 194–204 (2009)
Farrell, A. E. et al. Ethanol can contribute to energy and environmental goals. Science 311, 506–508 (2006)
Plevin, R. J. Modeling corn ethanol and climate: a critical comparison of the BESS and GREET models. J. Ind. Ecol. 13, 495–507 (2009)
Nuez Ortín, W. G. & Yu, P. Nutrient variation and availability of wheat DDGS, corn DDGS and blend DDGS from bioethanol plants. J. Sci. Food Agric. 89, 1754–1761 (2009)
Kim, S. & Dale, B. E. Life cycle assessment of various cropping systems utilized for producing biofuels: bioethanol and biodiesel. Biomass Bioenergy 29, 426–439 (2005)
Oak Ridge National Laboratory. Bioenergy conversion factors. http://www.localenergy.org/pdfs/Document Library/Bioenergy conversion factors pdf (2011)
Williams, J. R. in Computer Models of Watershed Hydrology (ed. Singh, V. P. ) 909–1000 (Water Research Publications, 1995)
Izaurralde, R. C. et al. Simulating soil C dynamics with EPIC: model description and testing against long-term data. Ecol. Modell. 192, 362–384 (2006)
Zhang, X. et al. An integrative modeling framework to evaluate the productivity and sustainability of biofuel crop production systems. GCB Bioenergy 2, 258–277 (2010)
Sinclair, T. R., Muchow, R. C. & Donald, L. S. Radiation use efficiency. Adv. Agron. 65, 215–265 (1999)
Izaurralde, R. C., Rosenberg, N. J., Brown, R. A. & Thomson, A. M. Integrated assessment of Hadley Center (HadCM2) climate-change impacts on agricultural productivity and irrigation water supply in the conterminous United States: Part II. Regional agricultural production in 2030 and 2095. Agric. For. Meteorol. 117, 97–122 (2003)
Tan, G. & Shibasaki, R. Global estimation of crop productivity and the impacts of global warming by GIS and EPIC integration. Ecol. Modell. 168, 357–370 (2003)
Klingebiel, A. A. & Montgomery, P. H. Land-Capability Classification (USDA, 1961)
Farr, T. G. et al. The shuttle radar topography mission. Rev. Geophys. 45, RG2004 (2007)
Mesinger, F. et al. North American regional reanalysis. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 87, 343–360 (2006)
Johnson, D. M. & Mueller, R. The 2009 cropland data layer. Photogramm. Eng. Remote Sensing 76, 1201–1205 (2010)
Eggemeyer, K. D. et al. Ecophysiology of two native invasive woody species and two dominant warm-season grasses in the semiarid grasslands of the Nebraska sandhills. Int. J. Plant Sci. 167, 991–999 (2006)
Tagil, S. & Jenness, J. GIS-Based automated landform classification and topographic, landcover and geologic attributes of landforms around the Yazoren Polje, Turkey. J. Appl. Sci. 8, 910–921 (2008)
Bailey, C., Dyer, J. F. & Teeter, L. Assessing the rural development potential of lignocellulosic biofuels in Alabama. Biomass Bioenergy 35, 1408–1417 (2011)
Acknowledgements
We thank S. Bohm, K. A. Kahmark, I. Shcherbak, and S. VanderWulp for help with data assembly; C. McMinn, J. Simmons and many others for field and laboratory assistance; J. R. Williams for EPIC model advice; and D. H. Manowitz for programming and computational assistance. We are additionally indebted to B. Bond-Lamberty, B. E. Dale, V. H. Dale, J. D. Hill, W. M. Post and T. O. West for comments on an earlier version of the manuscript. Financial support for this work was provided by the US DOE Office of Science (DE-FC02-07ER64494, KP1601050) and Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (DE-AC05-76RL01830, OBP 20469-19145), the US National Science Foundation LTER program (DEB 1027253), NASA (NNH08ZDA001N), and MSU AgBioResearch. EPIC simulations were performed on the PNNL Evergreen computer cluster, which is supported by the US DOE Office of Science (DE-AC05-76RL01830).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Contributions
G.P.R., I.G. and R.C.I. designed the study. I.G., R.C.I., R.S. and X.Z. analysed data and wrote initial drafts of the manuscript. R.C.I., R.S. and X.Z. performed simulations. X.Z. designed the spatially explicit modelling system. K.L.G. designed and performed the fertilization study. I.G. and G.P.R. wrote the final version of the manuscript.
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Competing interests
The authors declare no competing financial interests.
Supplementary information
Supplementary Information
This file contains Supplementary Figures 1-6, Supplementary Tables 1-12, Supplementary Equations 1-8, Supplementary Methods and Supplementary References. (PDF 499 kb)
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Gelfand, I., Sahajpal, R., Zhang, X. et al. Sustainable bioenergy production from marginal lands in the US Midwest. Nature 493, 514–517 (2013). https://doi.org/10.1038/nature11811
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/nature11811
This article is cited by
-
A comprehensive study of essential properties of Conocarpus Erectus as a potential bioenergy crop
International Journal of Environmental Science and Technology (2023)
-
Conversion of marginal land into switchgrass conditionally accrues soil carbon but reduces methane consumption
The ISME Journal (2022)
-
Sustainable land use and viability of biojet fuels
Nature Sustainability (2022)
-
Using Google Earth Engine and GIS for basin scale soil erosion risk assessment: A case study of Chambal river basin, central India
Journal of Earth System Science (2022)
-
Catalyst derived from wastes for biofuel production: a critical review and patent landscape analysis
Applied Nanoscience (2022)
Comments
By submitting a comment you agree to abide by our Terms and Community Guidelines. If you find something abusive or that does not comply with our terms or guidelines please flag it as inappropriate.