Freshening in the Canada basin of the Arctic Ocean began in the 1990s1,2 and continued3 to at least the end of 2008. By then, the Arctic Ocean might have gained four times as much fresh water as comprised the Great Salinity Anomaly4,5of the 1970s, raising the spectre of slowing global ocean circulation6. Freshening has been attributed to increased sea ice melting1 and contributions from runoff7, but a leading explanation has been a strengthening of the Beaufort High—a characteristic peak in sea level atmospheric pressure2,8—which tends to accelerate an anticyclonic (clockwise) wind pattern causing convergence of fresh surface water. Limited observations have made this explanation difficult to verify, and observations of increasing freshwater content under a weakened Beaufort High suggest that other factors2 must be affecting freshwater content. Here we use observations to show that during a time of record reductions in ice extent from 2005 to 2008, the dominant freshwater content changes were an increase in the Canada basin balanced by a decrease in the Eurasian basin. Observations are drawn from satellite data (sea surface height and ocean-bottom pressure) and in situ data. The freshwater changes were due to a cyclonic (anticlockwise) shift in the ocean pathway of Eurasian runoff forced by strengthening of the west-to-east Northern Hemisphere atmospheric circulation characterized by an increased Arctic Oscillation9 index. Our results confirm that runoff is an important influence on the Arctic Ocean and establish that the spatial and temporal manifestations of the runoff pathways are modulated by the Arctic Oscillation, rather than the strength of the wind-driven Beaufort Gyre circulation.
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This work was supported chiefly by NSF grants OPP 0352754, ARC-0634226, ARC-0856330 and NASA grant NNX08AH62G. R.K. was supported at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, under contract with NASA. GRACE ocean data were processed by D. P. Chambers, supported by the NASA MEASURES Program. We thank the NASA ICESat and GRACE programmes, K. Falkner, R. Collier, M. McPhee, W. Ermold, L. de Steur, A. Proshutinsky and the Beaufort Gyre Exploration Project, J. Toole and R. Krishfield and the Ice Tethered Profiler project at WHOI, and W. Smethie of the Switchyard project for the observations that made this work possible.
The authors declare no competing financial interests.
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Morison, J., Kwok, R., Peralta-Ferriz, C. et al. Changing Arctic Ocean freshwater pathways. Nature 481, 66–70 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1038/nature10705
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