Paul Ginsparg founded arXiv in 1991. Credit: Courtesey of John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation

The popular preprint server, where physicists, mathematicians and computer scientists routinely upload manuscripts to publicly share their findings before peer review, now holds more than 1 million research articles.

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The repository, launched as an ‘electronic bulletin board’ in August 1991, just before the dawn of the World Wide Web, took 17 years to accumulate half a million manuscripts, but has taken just 6 more to double its holdings.

Researchers now submit around 8,000 articles to the arXiv each month — more than 250 a day, on average. The site’s administrators make the raw, non-peer-reviewed manuscripts available in batches after a brief quality-control check, such as a cursory glance for appropriateness by one of 130 volunteer moderators, and automated filtering to check for text overlap with existing papers.

The site reached more than 1 million papers on 29 December, after administrators returned from holidays and updated the server with manuscripts submitted after business hours on Christmas Eve (24 December).

Judging by the running count of articles currently displayed on the arXiv’s home page, the manuscript that bears the landmark 1-millionth identifier is 'A well conditioned and sparse estimate of covariance and inverse covariance matrix using a joint penalty', which was submitted at 7:34:19 GMT on 26 December by Ashwini Maurya of Michigan State University in East Lansing. But in fact, the site’s millionth article cannot be pinpointed so precisely, says arXiv founder Paul Ginsparg, a physicist at Cornell University in Ithaca, New York. The count is actually a slightly fuzzy estimate owing to the way submissions are indexed and because the occasional duplicate or junk submission creeps in — something that can now be spotted by screening software but was easier to miss in the early days of the site.

The start of a revolution

The arXiv's massive collection of free manuscripts now runs alongside the slower system of publishing peer-reviewed manuscripts in scientific journals. But it was all a distant prospect when Ginsparg, then at the Los Alamos National Laboratory in New Mexico, founded an electronic service to share preprint articles for “a few hundred friends and colleagues working in a subfield of high-energy physics”, as he recounted in a 2011 Nature article written for the arXiv’s twentieth anniversary1. Since its inception, the server has broadened its reach to cover numerous other fields in physics, as well as mathematics, computer science, statistics and the quantitative aspects of finance and biology.

The popularity of the arXiv server has varied among disciplines. Some physicists were reluctant at first to share their results before formal, peer-reviewed publication, but came around to the idea when they realized the benefits of a quick way to publicize their work. For example, the discovery of a class of iron-based superconductors in 2008 brought a host of condensed-matter experimentalists to the site, “won over by the need to stake precedence claims and get their results in front of theorists”, Ginsparg wrote in his 2011 piece.

Nowadays, many important findings are posted first at the site. When the reclusive Russian mathematician Grigori Perelman proved the Poincaré conjecture (a statement about the nature of three-dimensional spaces that had resisted proof for almost a century), he posted his papers only at, and nowhere else. (Perelman later declined a Fields medal for the work). Last year, the site inspired an imitator in biology, bioRχ, launched by Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory Press in New York.

The arXiv is expanding ever faster. On 19 December, it announced that it would make its paper identification numbers one digit longer to cope with expected spikes exceeding 10,000 submissions per month. It now receives more than 10 million download requests a month.

None of this comes for free, but it is still relatively cheap. Projected annual costs for staff and servers ran to US$885,987 in 2014, less than $10 per paper added. Much of that is funded by member institutions — after a plea put out by Cornell University Library in 2010 — and by the Simons Foundation, a private foundation based in New York.

Researchers are also mining the arXiv repository to study how scientists communicate their work. Earlier this month, Ginsparg and Daniel Citron, a graduate student in physics at Cornell, reported on how often scientists re-use the text of other papers2 by analysing overlap of 7-word phrases in some 757,000 articles published at from 1991 to 2012. Other researchers are mining arXiv articles to chart trends in the popularity of scientific ideas, much as the digitization of Google Books has allowed humanities researchers to spot the incidence of particular phrases in English literature.

One million articles is a natural milestone, but physicists might prefer other numerical landmarks, Ginsparg says. “The significance of 1,000,000 is just the base-10 accident that we happen to have 10 fingers, whereas some would argue that 220 = 1,048,576 is a more important number,” he says. “Also it’s the number of bytes in a megabyte.”

Ginsparg will not have to wait long — at current rates of growth, the site should hit that point by the summer.

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