Three ecotypes of killer whale occur in partial sympatry in the North Pacific. Individuals assortatively mate within the same ecotype, resulting in correlated ecological and genetic differentiation. A key question is whether this pattern of evolutionary divergence is an example of incipient sympatric speciation from a single panmictic ancestral population, or whether sympatry could have resulted from multiple colonisations of the North Pacific and secondary contact between ecotypes. Here, we infer multilocus coalescent trees from >1000 nuclear single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and find evidence of incomplete lineage sorting so that the genealogies of SNPs do not all conform to a single topology. To disentangle whether uncertainty in the phylogenetic inference of the relationships among ecotypes could also result from ancestral admixture events we reconstructed the relationship among the ecotypes as an admixture graph and estimated f4-statistics using TreeMix. The results were consistent with episodes of admixture between two of the North Pacific ecotypes and the two outgroups (populations from the Southern Ocean and the North Atlantic). Gene flow may have occurred via unsampled ‘ghost’ populations rather than directly between the populations sampled here. Our results indicate that because of ancestral admixture events and incomplete lineage sorting, a single bifurcating tree does not fully describe the relationship among these populations. The data are therefore most consistent with the genomic variation among North Pacific killer whale ecotypes resulting from multiple colonisation events, and secondary contact may have facilitated evolutionary divergence. Thus, the present-day populations of North Pacific killer whale ecotypes have a complex ancestry, confounding the tree-based inference of ancestral geography.
Sympatric speciation is the evolution of reproductive isolation without geographic barriers (Mayr, 1963), in which the new species arise from a single randomly mating population (Gavrilets, 2003). Long-standing scepticism that this geographical mode of speciation was possible in nature (see, for example, Mayr, 1963; Felsenstein, 1981) remained even after theoreticians modelled the conditions and evolutionary processes under which sympatric speciation could take place. Most models of sympatric speciation evoke ecologically driven disruptive selection because of resource competition, that maintains polymorphisms that then segregate due to assortative mating (Dieckmann and Doebeli, 1999; Fry, 2003; Gavrilets, 2004; Bolnick and Fitzpatrick, 2007). The underlying assumptions of these models were thought by some not to be biologically realistic because of the seemingly low likelihood of maintaining linkage between loci associated with ecological variation and loci associated with mating preference in the face of even low levels of recombination, or of the evolution of ecological/mating preference pleiotropy (so-called ‘magic traits’; see review by Bolnick and Fitzpatrick, 2007). However, a small number of empirical studies have identified monophyletic sister taxa in geographically isolated ‘islands’, such as small crater lakes (Schliewen et al., 1994; Barluenga et al., 2006) or remote oceanic islands (Savolainen et al., 2006) in which sympatric divergence appears to be the most likely biogeographical scenario. The combination of support from theoretical models and empirical studies led to a widespread consensus that sympatric speciation is likely to have occurred in a few rare cases in nature (Coyne and Orr, 2004; Bolnick and Fitzpatrick, 2007). Yet, as predicted by Mayr (1963; and previously quoted by Bolnick and Fitzpatrick, 2007) ‘the issue will be raised again at regular intervals. Sympatric speciation is like the Lernaean Hydra which grew two new heads whenever one of its old heads was cut off’ (p 451, Mayr, 1963).
The most recent resurgent interest in sympatric speciation has stemmed from the development and application of population genomic methods (see, for example, Keinan et al., 2007; Reich et al., 2009; Green et al., 2010; Pickrell and Pritchard, 2012) to better infer more complex evolutionary histories than the widely used phylogeographic approaches that simply infer monophyly from a point estimate of the majority-rule branching pattern (see, for example, Eaton and Ree, 2013; Malinsky et al., 2015; Martin et al., 2015). These population genomic methods typically identify asymmetry in the covariance of allele frequencies among populations that suggest introgression and indicate that the relationships among populations are not fully described by a simple bifurcating tree model. An elegant study by Martin et al. (2015) utilised such population genomic approaches to reveal a complex evolutionary history that included allopatric phases and secondary gene flow in arguably the best-supported empirical example of a sympatric radiation: that of Cameroon crater lake cichlids (Coyne and Orr, 2004). Here, in response to a phylogeographic study recently published in Heredity (Moura et al., 2015), we apply a population genomics approach to the genome-wide single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) data generated by restriction site-associated DNA sequencing (RAD-seq; Baird et al., 2008) to gain insights into the evolutionary history of a species for which the evidence for sympatric speciation is arguably equivocal: the sympatric ecotypes of killer whales inhabiting the waters of the Northeastern Pacific (Ford et al., 2000). We critically evaluate both the approach taken and the inferences drawn by this previous study.
The killer whale (Orcinus orca) is a globally distributed mammalian species, found from the Arctic to the Antarctic and all waters in between (Morin et al., 2015). As a species, killer whales have been observed feeding on a wide range of prey species; however, several studies have found that some lineages are specialised hunters and feed upon a narrower range of prey species (Ford et al., 1998, 2000, 2011a; Saulitis et al., 2000; Pitman and Ensor, 2003; Burdin et al., 2005; Matkin et al., 2007; Durban et al., 2016). Thus, the term ecotype has been widely used in the literature when referring to these ecologically specialised lineages (Ford et al., 2000). Killer whale ecotypes are found in sympatry in a number of locations (Ford et al., 1998; Pitman and Ensor, 2003; Foote et al., 2009), the most intensively studied being the partially sympatric ecotypes of the North Pacific (Ford et al., 1998, 2000). The mammal-eating ‘transient’ ecotype occurs in partial sympatry in coastal waters with the fish-eating ‘resident’ ecotype (Ford et al., 1998; Saulitis et al., 2000; Burdin et al., 2005; Matkin et al., 2007), whereas a third ‘offshore’ ecotype is occasionally seen in the same waters, but most frequently encountered in waters further offshore (Dahlheim et al., 2008; Ford et al., 2011a). The resident and transient ecotypes thus satisfy the first criterion of Coyne and Orr (2004) for identifying sympatric speciation, that is, that species have largely overlapping geographic ranges.
No mitochondrial haplotypes are shared among these North Pacific ecotypes and estimates of FST based on allele frequencies of microsatellite loci and nuclear SNPs indicate that ecotypes are significantly genetically differentiated (Hoelzel et al., 1998, 2007; Barrett-Lennard and Ellis, 2001; Morin et al., 2010, 2015; Ford et al., 2011b; Parsons et al., 2013). Some studies have reported estimates of low-level, on-going, male-mediated gene flow between ecotypes (Hoelzel et al., 2007; Pilot et al., 2010). Others have found no evidence for contemporary male-mediated gene flow using many of the same approaches as Pilot et al. (2010) and sampling some of the same sub-populations (Ford et al., 2011b). It therefore appears to be unresolved whether killer whales meet the second criterion of Coyne and Orr (2004) for identifying sympatric speciation, that is, that reproductive isolation must be complete.
It is the failure to meet the third and fourth criteria of Coyne and Orr (2004) that we have previously argued makes the case for sympatric speciation (or divergence) of North Pacific killer whale ecotypes at best equivocal (Foote and Morin, 2015), namely, that clades thought to arise via sympatric speciation must be sister species or monophyletic endemic species flocks, and that ‘the biogeographic and evolutionary history of the groups must make the existence of an allopatric phase very unlikely’. A sparsely sampled nuclear DNA phylogeny based on RAD-seq data reconstructed a paraphyletic relationship (Moura et al., 2015). From their phylogeographic analysis of these RAD-seq data, Moura et al. (2015) infer the North Pacific as the most likely location of divergence for the three North Pacific ecotypes. However, mitochondrial DNA phylogenies reconstruct a polyphyletic relationship among North Pacific killer whales, clustering the residents and offshores together with lineages from the North Atlantic rather than with the transients (Barrett-Lennard and Ellis, 2001; Hoelzel et al., 2002; Morin et al., 2010, 2015; Foote et al., 2011; Moura et al., 2015). In addition, even if the inference that divergence took place in the North Pacific is correct, the size of this ocean does not make the existence of an allopatric phase very unlikely.
Given the failure to fully satisfy the criteria for sympatric speciation as noted above, we question the robustness of the inference of sympatric divergence drawn by the study of Moura et al. (2015). However, we also have concerns regarding the phylogenetic approach taken by these authors that we critically evaluate here. Moura et al. (2015) inferred a phylogenetic tree based upon concatenated RAD-seq data from five killer whale ecotypes/populations using MRBAYES (Ronquist and Huelsenbeck, 2003) and BEAST (Drummond and Rambaut, 2007). Such an approach may not be appropriate for analysing diploid markers for the timescales over which population splits occur within a species (Schierup and Hein, 2000; Kutschera et al., 2014; De Maio et al., 2015), as there is likely to be incomplete lineage sorting (ILS) of standing genetic variation that was present at the root of a phylogeny (De Maio et al., 2015). Accordingly, the number of fixed differences between the sampled killer whale populations (reported in Table 2 of Moura et al., 2014a) ranges from just 0 to 15. By sampling 1.7 Mb of the nuclear genome representing many genes, Hoelzel and Moura (2015) claim they have produced a reliable topology that accurately reconstructs the history of these populations. However, by concatenating the data they have ignored coalescent variance and assumed that all loci share the same genealogy (Knowles and Carstens, 2007; Kubatko and Degnan, 2007). Several processes can result in discordant gene trees and incongruence between individual gene trees and the true evolutionary history, with perhaps the best studied being ILS (Maddison and Knowles, 2006; Degnan and Rosenberg, 2009). Rapid radiations, such as have been inferred for killer whales (Hoelzel et al., 2002; Morin et al., 2015; Foote et al., 2016), can result in short branch lengths, the retention of ancestral polymorphisms in different populations and ILS because of the failure of lineages within a population to coalesce (Degnan and Rosenberg, 2009). Under such conditions, concatenation of genes can result in a consensus tree that is incongruent with the true evolutionary history, and simply adding and concatenating more data can exacerbate this discordance (Degnan and Rosenberg, 2009). In addition, the default settings of software used by Moura et al. (2015) treat sites that are heterozygous in an individual (and thereby classified as IUPAC (International Union of Pure and Applied Chemistry) codes) as ambiguous data. This is a known source of bias in the inference of topologies from diploid sequence data (Lischer et al., 2014; Potts et al., 2014). It is unclear whether Moura et al. (2015) accounted for this issue in their phylogenomic study. Lastly, inferring the relationship among populations as a single phylogenetic tree is only appropriate in population genomic studies if the amount of gene flow among populations can be shown to have a negligible effect on this reconstruction of a single evolutionary history (Schierup and Hein, 2000; Foote and Morin, 2015). A major limitation of using such an approach to infer ancestral states is that these tree-based methods do not consider the possibility that populations derived ancestry from multiple ancestral populations, for example, because of ancestral admixture events (Cavalli-Sforza, 1973; Cavalli-Sforza and Piazza, 1975; Felsenstein, 1982; Patterson et al., 2012). Thus, if each ecotype resulted from a distinct colonisation event followed by subsequent gene flow upon secondary contact, then the colonisation history will be obscured in a majority-rule phylogeny that will then wrongly infer that the previously allopatric ecotypes are sister taxa (Foote and Morin, 2015).
When considering evolutionary history within a species, the major processes underlying genetic differentiation among populations include genetic drift of allele frequencies that will in turn be constrained by gene flow between populations. Thus, genetic differentiation among populations primarily reflects differences in demographic processes and connectivity, at least until sufficient time has passed to allow accumulation of novel mutations and complete lineage sorting of ancestral alleles. In this study, we reconstruct the relationships among killer whale ecotypes based on methods appropriate for intraspecific comparisons that consider heterozygous sites and changes in allele frequencies and account for ILS and/or admixture. We focus on the assumption that the population history of killer whales conforms to a single, simple bifurcating tree unbiased by gene flow among populations that the phylogeographic inference of sympatric divergence within the North Pacific by Moura et al. (2015) relies upon. Recent studies have developed and applied explicit tests for the violation of a tree model and methods to infer more complex colonisation histories (see, for example, Reich et al., 2009; Green et al., 2010; Durand et al., 2011; Patterson et al., 2012; Pickrell and Pritchard, 2012). Here we apply some of these approaches to the published SNP genotypes generated by RAD-seq (Moura et al., 2014a, 2015), allowing us to explore more complex scenarios in the evolutionary history of North Pacific killer whale ecotypes.
Materials and methods
Quality control check of published SNP data
Moura et al. (2015) generated RAD-seq data from 43 samples, but concurrently published a larger genotype data set for 115 individuals generated using the same RAD-seq protocol (Moura et al., 2014a). These authors reported that 3281 SNPs were identified and confidently mapped to the killer whale genome (Moura et al., 2014a). We accessed this larger data set as a VCF file from the Dryad data depository (doi: 10.5061/dryad.qk22t), which included genotypes for 3678 sites.
As some of the models implemented in our analyses assume that loci are evolving under a Wright–Fisher model, that is, are evolving under neutrality, we filtered the data to remove loci identified as among the top outliers in an analysis of whole genome sequences (Foote et al., 2016) and in which alternative alleles resulting in nonsynonymous amino acid substitutions within protein coding genes were fixed in different ecotypes. Specifically, we removed two SNPs that fell within the GATA4 gene on scaffold KB316942.1 (positions 7 516 690–7 564 747). This contrasted with previous filtering of 365 SNPs inferred as evolving under selection by Moura et al. (2015) using the FDIST2 method (Beaumont and Nichols, 1996) implemented in LOSITAN (Antao et al., 2008). When used with the relatively limited number of SNPs available for the killer whale data set, and given the demographic shifts within this species (Foote et al., 2016), this method underestimates the range of neutral FST values, leading to false positive identification of loci evolving under selection (Lotterhos and Whitlock, 2014), thereby removing neutrally evolving loci that have greater phylogenetic informativeness.
Inspection of the data following filtering for putative loci under selection revealed that large numbers of SNPs were in close linkage; for example, >10% were ⩽10 bp apart on the same scaffold and approximately one-third of SNPs are ⩽100 bp from another SNP on the same scaffold (Supplementary Figure S1). The killer whale genome has low genetic diversity (π≈0.001–0.003), that is, one SNP on average every 300–1000 bp (Foote et al., 2016). Thus, a large proportion of the RAD-seq data have orders of magnitude higher genetic diversity than the genome-wide average, and the called SNPs in close physical linkage potentially result from sequencing reads being mapped to unmasked paralogous and/or repetitive regions, or other mapping artefacts. We therefore compared the coordinates of SNPs, which are given in the VCF file in respect to their position on the killer whale genome assembly, with the coordinates of putative repeat regions in the killer whale genome (Foote et al., 2015, 2016). We found that 447 of the SNPs in the VCF file were in repeat regions identified by RepeatMasker (Smit et al., 1996) using the Cetartiodactyl repeat library from Repbase (Jurka et al., 2005).
The removal of repeat regions identified by RepeatMasker did not remove all closely linked SNPs, and therefore we compared the unfiltered VCF coordinates with regions of the killer whale reference genome (Foote et al., 2015, 2016) with poor mappability (Q<30), excessive coverage (>twice the average coverage, as determined using angsd doDepth function; Korneliussen et al., 2014) or low coverage (less than a third of the average) as determined by the CallableLoci tool implemented in GATK (McKenna et al., 2010; DePristo et al., 2011). We found that 1172 SNPs in the VCF file fell into these regions, with the coordinates of 257 SNPs being identified as regions of poor mappability by both methods (RepeatMasker and CallableLoci). Thus, these two methods identified a combined total of 1360 SNPs in the VCF file that were mapped to putative repetitive elements. This constitutes 37% of the SNPs listed in the VCF file, consistent with repetitive elements constituting 41% of the killer whale genome (Foote et al., 2016). Thus, the number of SNPs retained after removing potential mapping artefacts was 2316.
Even after this filtering step several hundred of the retained SNPs were <10 kb from another SNP on the same scaffold and thus potentially linked (Supplementary Figure S1). Therefore, the SNP data set was further filtered to minimise the effect of linkage by including only SNPs that were spaced >100 kb apart on a scaffold, retaining 1346 putatively unlinked SNPs (Supplementary Figure S1). Data files for the filtering steps have been deposited in the Dryad data repository.
Coalescent species tree analyses of SNPs
To visualise uncertainty in the majority-rule topology, for example, if different genes have different evolutionary histories because of ILS, we used SNAPP v. 1.1.1 (Bryant et al., 2012) implemented in BEAST v2.3.1 (Drummond and Rambaut, 2007) to infer multilocus phylogenetic trees from nuclear SNPs based on the coalescent. SNAPP is a drift-based model that allows for a single new mutation per site and back mutations, assuming at most two alleles per site (Bryant et al., 2012). As this model assumes that loci are unlinked and evolving under the Wright–Fisher model, we therefore analysed the SNP data set filtered for putative repeats, linkage and loci evolving under selection. Because of the high computational intensity of running SNAPP on such a large number of markers and individuals, we followed the example of Stervander et al. (2015) and pruned our data set to include five randomly selected individuals from each population/ecotype. We used a burn-in of 10% and visualised the distribution of trees using DENSITREE v. 2.1 (Bouckaert, 2010). The maximum-clade-credibility tree was generated using TREEANNOTATOR v. 1.7.4 (Drummond and Rambaut, 2007). We repeated this process a further three times by randomly resampling without replacement different individuals than used for the first run (for populations with >5 genotyped individuals). To determine the effect of subsampling on theta-estimates, we then combined two of these subsets, so that for populations with ⩾10 genotyped individuals, we sampled 10 individuals. Details of which individuals were included in each subsample are given in Supplementary Table S1. We used the default prior and model parameters, including the defaults for u and v, and ran a single Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) chain of 1 000 000 iterations with sampling every 1000 steps. Acceptable mixing (requiring effective sample size values to be >200) and convergence were checked by visual inspection of the posterior samples using Tracer (Rambaut and Drummond, 2007). Convergence rates of posterior split probabilities were also visualised using the online AWTY (Are We There Yet?) program (Nylander et al., 2008).
Tests for ‘treeness’ and admixture
To further test for a violation of the tree model assumption (bifurcation) and to detect admixture/recombination events, we calculated the f4-statistic, which can provide robust evidence of admixture, even if gene flow events occurred hundreds of generations ago and under scenarios of ILS (Reich et al., 2009). Tests on simulated data have shown that the admixture proportions estimated using the f4-statistic are robust to ascertainment strategies and demographic history (Patterson et al., 2012).
The f4-statistic is based on the quantification of genetic drift (change of allele frequencies) between pairs of populations in a tree using variance in allele frequencies (Reich et al., 2009; Patterson et al., 2012; Peter 2016). For each set of four populations, there are three possible unrooted bifurcating trees that could describe the relationships among populations. For example, populations A, B, C and D could be described by trees ((A,B),(C,D)), ((A,C),(B,D)) and ((A,D),(B,C)). The differences in allele frequencies between the populations in each clade should be uncorrelated between clades if the topology is correct. Hence, if topology ((A,B),(C,D)) does accurately describe the relationship among these populations, then the allele frequency differences (drift) that have accumulated since population A split from population B should not be correlated with the allele frequency differences accumulated since population C split from population D, resulting in an f4-statistic that does not differ significantly from zero. For the incorrect alternate topologies, correlated drift should result in positive or negative correlation values. This would remain true under conditions of ILS, thus disentangling admixture from ILS.
We computed the statistic f4(A,B; C,D) for all possible combinations of populations using the fourpop function in Treemix (Pickrell and Pritchard, 2012). We used the data set of 2316 SNPs filtered to remove SNPs mapped to putative repetitive elements and the GATA4 locus, but not filtered for linkage. Instead, linkage disequilibrium was accounted for by jackknifing in windows of five adjacent SNPs, allowing the significance of each test to be assessed by calculating the standard error. The tests were replicated, jackknifing over blocks of 10 and 50 SNPs. The expected value of the f4-statistic was estimated visually by reconstructing the paths of allele frequency changes through the tree, first assuming the topology inferred in this study using SNAPP, and second assuming the topology inferred by Moura et al. (2015). The expected value of the statistic f4(A,B; C,D) would be zero if we see no overlap in the paths of allele frequency changes (drift) between A and B, and between C and D through the tree. The expected value of the statistic f4(A,B; C,D) and associated Z-score will be: negative and significantly different from zero if allele frequency changes between A and B and between C and D take paths in the opposite direction along a shared edge within the tree; or positive and significantly different from zero if the drift between A and B and between C and D share overlapping paths in the same direction along an edge within the tree. Thus by performing these tests, we identify when the relationship among four of our five populations are fully described by a simple tree model and if they are consistent with the topology inferred by SNAPP and/or the substitution-based tree model by Moura et al. (2015); or when the relationship among a combination of four populations is not fully described by a simple tree model, suggesting instead that some populations may derive from multiple ancestral populations due to admixture.
When a potentially admixed population is identified using this approach, the method can be extended to estimate admixture proportions using the ratio of f4-statistics. Patterson et al. (2012) defined the f4-ratio test as
where A and C are a sister group, B is sister to (A,B), X is a mixture of A and B and O is the outgroup. This ratio estimates the ancestry from A, denoted as α, and the ancestry from B, as 1−α (Supplementary Figure S2). We estimated the ancestry proportions of the offshore and transient ecotypes that were candidates for admixture from the Atlantic and Marion Island populations respectively (see below).
To further visualise ‘treeness’, that is, how well relationships can be represented by bifurcations, we reconstructed the relationships between killer whale ecotypes in the form of a maximum likelihood graph using the unified statistical framework implemented in TreeMix v. 1.12 (Pickrell and Pritchard, 2012). TreeMix estimates a bifurcating maximum likelihood tree using population allele frequency data and estimates genetic drift among populations using a Gaussian approximation. The branches of this tree represent the relationship between populations based on the majority of alleles. Migration edges are then fitted between populations that are a poor fit to the tree model, and in which the exchange of alleles is inferred. The addition of migration edges between branches is undertaken in stepwise iterations to maximise the likelihood, until no further increase in statistical significance is achieved (Pickrell and Pritchard, 2012). The directionality of gene flow along migration edges is inferred from asymmetries in a covariance matrix of allele frequencies relative to an ancestral population as implied from the maximum likelihood tree. This is illustrated in the example tree ((X1,X2)(X3,X4)) given in Figure 1 of Pickrell and Pritchard (2012), in which a migration is inferred from the branch to population X2 to population X3 from the high covariance found between X1 and X3, but not between populations X2 and X4. We estimated the likelihood of graphs with from 0 to 5 migration events added in order to visualise the largest gene flow events and estimate their proportion and direction.
Lastly, we visualised genetic structure among populations using Bayesian hierarchical clustering implemented in STRUCTURE v. 2.3.4 (Pritchard et al., 2000; Falush et al., 2003). To limit the effects of linkage disequilibrium, we used the filtered data set of 1346 SNPs. We used STRUCTURE to estimate proportions of admixture for every individual in the data set for k=5. Five independent runs were performed using a burn-in period of 50 000 iterations followed by 300 000 MCMC steps that were checked for acceptable convergence and mixing.
Results and discussion
Genomic methods are rapidly improving our ability to infer evolutionary and population genetics patterns and processes. In particular, by identifying variation in phylogenetic signal across genomic regions, these methods can infer processes such as introgression and ILS (Kutschera et al., 2014). A recently published phylogenomic study aimed at determining divergence patterns and processes in a rapid global radiation inferred ancestral geography assuming a tree-like relationship among five populations/ecotypes of killer whales (Moura et al., 2015). Here, we critically evaluate both the approach taken and the inferences drawn by this previous study. The analysis of concatenated RAD-seq loci by Moura et al. (2015) does not account for introgression or ILS, and concatenation is known to generate biases in the inference of a consensus tree (Kubatko and Degnan, 2007). Our re-analyses of the genome-wide SNPs presented by Moura et al. (2014a, 2015) find that their inferred topology is but one of several genealogical histories found for different independent loci, and is discordant with the genealogies of the majority of loci sampled here. Furthermore, by using methods that disentangle introgression from ILS, we find signatures of ancestral admixture with outgroups, but which are not equally shared among the three North Pacific ecotypes. Thus, our analyses argue against the North Pacific ecotypes arising from a single colonisation by a panmictic population and a vicariant split (that is, sympatric speciation).
Incomplete lineage sorting
We visualised the variation in the topology of gene trees using the multi-species coalescent model implemented in SNAPP (Bryant et al., 2012), thereby allowing each SNP to have its own genealogy (Figure 1). The MCMC chains showed stationarity and mixing (effective sample size >200 for all variables except for two theta-estimates at the root of the tree). The consensus tree topology and theta-estimates were relatively consistent across runs in which different individuals were sampled from each population (Figure 1, Supplementary Figure S3 and Supplementary Table S2), indicating that subsampling did not significantly bias the topology of the SNAPP trees. Two nodes were highly supported (highest posterior density (HPD)=1.0) in each consensus tree, but two nodes consistently showed weaker support; specifically, the nodes associated with the placement of the transient ecotype relative to both the Atlantic population and to the ingroup of the resident and offshore ecotypes. This topological uncertainty was visualised as a cloudogram of gene trees sampled from the posterior distribution inferred by SNAPP using DENSITREE (Bouckaert, 2010). The number of alternative topologies inferred per subsampling and within the 95% HPD ranged from 3 to 9 (Supplementary Table S3). In all inferred topologies within the 95% HPD the resident and offshore ecotypes consistently cluster together as the ingroup. However, the transient ecotype shifts position relative to this ingroup and the outgroups, in particular the Atlantic population (Figure 1, Supplementary Figure S3 and Supplementary Table S3). The topology inferred from the substitution model-based concatenated phylogenetic reconstruction of Moura et al. (2015), which constrains all sites to share the same evolutionary history, represents <11% of the SNAPP trees in the 95% HPD for each of the different subsamples (Supplementary Table S3).
The inference of ILS from the discordance of topologies inferred by SNAPP is supported by the high proportion of shared polymorphic sites and the low number of fixed differences among populations/ecotypes, and is expected for such a recent and rapid divergence as is the case in killer whales. The pattern of ILS among the Atlantic, Marion Island and Transient groups suggests that loci are coalescing in a large and structured ancestral source population. Low effective population size, as inferred from the theta-estimates (Figure 1,Supplementary Figure S3 and Supplementary Table S2), may have accelerated lineage sorting in the offshore and resident ecotypes. However, although the multilocus coalescence approach of SNAPP incorporates heterozygous sites and accounts for lineage sorting, the model does not consider gene flow among taxa. Therefore, the signal identified as resulting from ILS by SNAPP, could in fact be wholly or in part due to ancestral admixture events. Introgressive gene flow has long been acknowledged as a confounding factor in phylogenetic inference (see Schierup and Hein, 2000; Leaché et al., 2014). Introgression shortens branch lengths, reduces node support and results in populations being grouped together based on the extent of gene flow between them in substitution model-based phylogenetic trees (Schierup and Hein, 2000; Leaché et al., 2014). We therefore investigated whether historical gene flow between ancestral populations/ecotypes could be influencing gene tree topology using methods that can identify the extent and direction of introgression during recent and ancestral admixture events.
Evidence of shared substructure
We estimated and visualised the proportions of shared ancestry among the two outgroups and the three North Pacific ecotypes using STRUCTURE. The highest likelihood run for k=5 is shown in Figure 2. The assignment probabilities indicated that the transient ecotype shared ancestry proportions with the Marion Island population, but the resident and offshore ecotypes did not. The transient ecotype also shared ancestry proportions with the offshore ecotype. Following an admixture event, recombination is expected to break up ancestry proportions over successive generations, and ancestry will be exchanged among individuals within the population, eventually resulting in homogenisation of ancestry proportions within a population. In contrast, we find relatively high proportions of ‘offshore’ and ‘Marion Island’ ancestry in just a few individuals of the transient ecotype. This variance in ancestry proportions among individuals is suggestive of relatively recent admixture that has not yet fully introgressed within the receiving transient ecotype.
Although STRUCTURE is a powerful tool for detecting population substructure, it does not provide any formal tests for admixture. The genetic substructure shared by the outgroup Marion Island population and the North Pacific transient ecotype, but not the other two North Pacific ecotypes, could potentially be generated by multiple population histories: for example, introgression from an unsampled population into the transient ecotype and Marion Island population or shared ancestral variation that was lost in the resident and offshore populations or an artefact of rare alleles.
Evidence of ancestral admixture and a lack of ‘treeness’
In contrast to STRUCTURE, the f4-statistic and TreeMix are explicit tests for admixture that also provide some information about the directionality of gene flow (Patterson et al., 2012).
For most combinations of taxa our observed and our visual estimations of the expected f4-statistic were consistent with a tree-like relationship of the form ((outgroup, transient), (resident, offshore)) (see Table 1a and Supplementary Figures S4a and b) or ((outgroup, outgroup), (ecotype, ecotype)) (see Table 1b and Supplementary Figures S4c and d). However, our observed and our visual estimations of the expected f4-statistic were not consistent with a tree-like relationship in tests that included the North Pacific transient and offshore ecotypes and the Marion Island and Atlantic outgroups together (Table 1c and Supplementary Figure S4e). For this combination of taxa we expect that only the f4-statistic test f4(M,A; O,T) will be nonsignificant (Supplementary Figure S4e). However, the observed f4-statistic is not significant for either f4(M,A; O,T) or f4(M,O; T,A) and both trees appear to have approximately equal support (Table 1c). The f4-statistic test f4(M,O; T,A) was expected to be significant because of drift taking overlapping paths along the same edge e as for test f4(M,T; O,A). Yet, the f4-statistic are markedly different for the two tests, that is, we see less covariance of drift between the taxa forced in the clade (M,O) and the taxa forced into the clade (T,A) than expected. This indicates that drift is taking an alternative path in the tree because of introgressive admixture between two or more of these populations in different clades, but this admixture does not affect the covariance of drift as greatly as when comparing the clades (M,T) and (O,A). We observe discordance between the observed (nonsignificant) and the expected (significant) f4-statistics for this combination of populations whether we assume the consensus topology reconstructed from SNAPP or the topology inferred from concatenated RAD sequences by Moura et al. (2015). This combination of populations was not compared by Hoelzel and Moura (2015) in their tests of different topologies using DIY-ABC (Cornuet et al., 2014) presented as support for their earlier inference of sympatric evolution of North Pacific ecotypes (Moura et al., 2015), as they excluded the Atlantic population.
When no migration events are included, the drift-based model implemented in TreeMix infers a topology (Figure 3a) that is concordant with the consensus topology inferred by SNAPP (Figure 1). The resident and offshore ecotypes grouped together, as did the Marion Island and Atlantic populations, whereas the transient was intermediate between these two pairings (Figure 3a). Drift was higher in the resident and offshore ecotypes and Atlantic population (Figure 3a), consistent with the lower theta-estimates from SNAPP (Figure 1). Inspection of the matrix of residuals (Figure 3b) indicated how well this tree model fits the data, in which residuals above zero represent populations that are more closely related to each other than in the best-fit tree and are candidates for admixture, and negative residuals indicate that a pair of populations is less closely related than represented in the best-fit tree. Strongly positive residuals suggest candidate admixture events between the Marion Island population and transient ecotype, between the resident and transient ecotypes and between the Atlantic population and offshore ecotype. In contrast, we see a strongly negative residual suggesting that the covariance in allele frequencies between the offshore and transient ecotypes may be overestimated by the model.
TreeMix optimised the fit of the data to a tree by adding two migration events between populations (Supplementary Figure S5a). The likelihood was not further increased by adding additional migration edges. The TreeMix model makes a number of assumptions about, and simplifications of, the process of population splits and gene flow. First, migration is modelled as occurring at a single point in time, and in cases of on-going long-term gene flow this assumption will be violated and result in a poorly supported graph (Pickrell and Pritchard, 2012). For example, the covariance of allele frequencies between North Pacific resident and transient ecotypes could be a consequence of equilibrium demography, that is, populations are at a long-term stasis with a fixed low level of migration between them, and this could influence the topology of the maximum likelihood tree. Second, TreeMix also assumes that the history of the species is largely tree like, but in cases of complex structure, many graphs representing different histories may be equally supported by identical covariance matrices. Accordingly, we found that several different migration edges resulted in the same increase in likelihood of the fit of the data to the tree model. The two migration edges in the optimised admixture graph generated by TreeMix are consistent with the discordance between the observed and expected f4-statistic test f4(M,O; T,A). Supplementary Figures S5b and c illustrate how the expected covariance due to drift taking overlapping paths along the same edge e is reduced because of the migration edges. These migration edges have less influence on the covariance of drift in the f4-statistic test f4(M,T; O,A), and hence the observed and expected f4-statistic are relatively concordant for this test (see Supplementary Figure S5d).
Candidate admixed populations
The results presented here provide an indication of populations/ecotypes that might have ancestry derived from multiple populations. The consensus SNAPP and TreeMix topologies identified the North Pacific transient ecotype as being intermediate between the pairing of the resident and offshore ecotypes and the pairing of the Atlantic and Marion Island populations, with residuals from the TreeMix analysis suggesting potential admixture between the transient ecotype and Marion Island population and between the resident and transient ecotypes. STRUCTURE also identified shared substructure between the transient ecotype and Marion Island populations. Lastly, the f4-ratio estimator suggested that the transient ecotype shared roughly equal ancestry with the offshore ecotype (45%) and the Marion Island population (55%), dependent upon the timing of the admixture (see Supplementary Figure S2). The North Pacific offshore ecotype was also suggested by some analyses to be a candidate admixed population, with 22% shared ancestry with the Atlantic population inferred by the f4-ratio estimator (see Supplementary Figure S2). The residuals of the TreeMix analysis also suggested potential admixture between the offshore ecotype and Atlantic population. Finally, when the resident and offshore ecotypes were interchanged in the f4-statistic tests, the difference in the estimates were consistent with drift taking an additional path between the offshores and Atlantic population (Supplementary Figure S4a). Therefore, of the three North Pacific ecotypes, the offshores and the transients were candidates for having ancestry derived from more than one source population. It is important to note that the inferred source populations in these analyses may not be the actual donor of ancestry and instead admixture could be via intermediate and unsampled ‘ghost’ populations; in fact, this is suggested by the positioning of the migration edges in the TreeMix graph (Supplementary Figure S5a). Interestingly, the offshore and transient ecotypes were found to group in mitochondrial genome clades with individuals sampled at low latitudes in the Eastern Tropical Pacific that Morin et al. (2015) inferred arose from episodic dispersal between high-latitude ecotypes and low-latitude populations. In contrast, the mitochondrial genomes of the resident ecotype did not group with any other populations (Morin et al., 2015). The relationship between high-latitude ecotypes and low-latitude populations and the influence on the inferences made here deserve further investigation.
The analyses presented here do not provide unequivocal support for the argument that sympatry among the North Pacific killer whale ecotypes arose following secondary contact, nor do they argue unequivocally against a partially vicariant split within the North Pacific (as proposed by Moura et al., 2015). Our consensus topology does group the three North Pacific ecotypes together. Although this is not conclusive evidence of sympatric divergence, it is consistent with it. Therefore, the three North Pacific ecotypes may share ancestry tracts that coalesce in an ancestral North Pacific population that predates any additional colonisation, or evolutionary divergence, that is, primary contact. However, we find a signal of some ancestral admixture between the resident and transient ecotypes (or groups related to them), and potentially more recent admixture between the transient and offshore ecotypes (or groups related to them) in the STRUCTURE plot. Therefore, the three North Pacific ecotypes likely share ancestry tracts that postdate ecological and evolutionary divergence and result from more recent gene flow, that is, secondary contact. Teasing these two scenarios apart remains a challenge for future studies. Our analyses do however illustrate that multiple evolutionary histories can result in the same topology if modelled as a single bifurcating tree (Figure 4). Thus, we remain unconvinced by the claims of Moura et al. (2015) that their phylogeographic analysis of a single topology reconstructed from concatenated RAD-seq data, which included samples from just two populations outside of the North Pacific, is evidence for the divergence in sympatry of the North Pacific killer whale ecotypes. Instead, we believe that the mode of ecotypic divergence remains an open question and one that we hope will continue to be pursued.
These future studies should incorporate more markers (see, for example, Foote et al., 2016) and include a more representative global sample set (see, for example, Morin et al., 2015). The importance of complete taxon sampling for robust phylogeographical inference has been highlighted for killer whales by Morin et al. (2015) and other species (see, for example, Stervander et al., 2015). Studies on geographic origins of human population splits and ancestry, in particular those incorporating ancient genomes, have highlighted how the geographic distribution of present-day populations is often not indicative of their ancestral geographic distribution (Pickrell and Reich, 2014). Processes that include long-range dispersal followed by population replacement or admixture have greatly transformed the global distribution of human genetic variation (Alves et al., 2016). This complex geographic and genetic ancestry violates many of the assumptions made by simple tree-based phylogeographic approaches that sample the geography and genes of modern populations to infer their ancestral state (Pickrell and Reich, 2014). A focus for future work should be to better understand this complexity and particularly the role of long-range dispersal, secondary contact and subsequent gene flow among sympatric killer whale ecotypes. More broadly, our results strongly indicate that future work on this species, and others where complex ancestry due to long-range migration and ancient admixture are a possibility, can be best served by incorporating a population genomic framework, in addition to the more commonly applied phylogenetic framework.
In a recent review, the Marie Curie Speciation Network (2012) suggested that the classification of speciation mechanisms by geographical context into allopatric, parapatric and sympatry classes was no longer a satisfactory framework. Treating sympatric and allopatric speciation as a dichotomy may be biologically unrealistic, and instead the geographic context of speciation is perhaps best viewed as a graded continuum. The results presented here, although equivocal, hint at the North Pacific killer whale ecotypes falling somewhere along that continuum and their genomes appear to retain ancestry from both sympatric and allopatric periods of their evolutionary history. Whether these sympatric periods were the result of primary or secondary contact remains a challenging question for future studies.
Data available from the Dryad Digital Repository: http://dx.doi.org/10.5061/dryad.803q8.
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We thank Simon Ho, Martin Stervander, Vitor Sousa, Nagarjun Vijay and Jochen Wolf for helpful discussions on the methods applied here and in the original paper by Moura et al. We thank the two anonymous reviewers for their thoughtful and constructive feedback that greatly improved this manuscript. In this age where social media is playing an ever more important role in science, we also acknowledge the blog posting by Thomas Mailund on estimating admixture (www.mailund.dk) that was very helpful in highlighting how α can be underestimated in the f4-ratio test. Thanks also to Marie Louis and Benoit Simon-Bouhet for the R-script that was used to compare the coordinates of the SNPs in the VCF file with the repeat regions in the bed files.
The authors declare no conflict of interest.
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Foote, A., Morin, P. Genome-wide SNP data suggest complex ancestry of sympatric North Pacific killer whale ecotypes. Heredity 117, 316–325 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1038/hdy.2016.54
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