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  • CORRESPONDENCE

Climate change: making decisions in the face of deep uncertainty

  1. Judy Lawrence

    1. Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand.

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  2. Marjolijn Haasnoot

    1. Deltares and University of Utrecht, Utrecht, the Netherlands.

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  3. Robert Lempert

    1. RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, California, USA.

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In our view, Zeke Hausfather and Glen Peters’s recommendation to assign a single set of best-estimate probabilities to all future emissions scenarios as a means to assess climate-change risks (Nature 577, 618–620; 2020) could give decision-makers a false sense of certainty, leading to costly adjustments if the world evolves in unanticipated ways.

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Nature 580, 456 (2020)

doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-020-01147-5

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