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Germ-line mutations in the BRCA1 and BRCA2 genes confer a high lifetime risk of developing breast or ovarian cancer. Estimates of the cumulative risk of breast cancer to age 70 vary from 40 to 85%, depending on the study (Easton et al, 1995; Ford et al, 1998; Antoniou et al, 2003; Chen et al, 2006; Milne et al, 2008). Environmental and other genetic factors (risk modifiers) are likely to explain these differences, at least in part. The few reliable genetic associations that have been reported to date, have all come from the Consortium of Investigators of Modifiers of BRCA1/2 (CIMBA) initiative, which was set up to provide large samples of mutation carriers to reliably assess even modest associations with single-nucleotide polymorphisms (Chenevix-Trench et al, 2007). The CIMBA has assessed risk in BRCA1/2 carriers for various SNPs in genes that had been previously found to be associated with increased breast cancer risk in the general population, mostly via genome-wide association studies (Antoniou et al, 2008, 2009). However, the first evidence of a modifier came from a candidate gene approach studying the RAD51 gene, which interacts directly with BRCA1 and BRCA2. All three genes participate in the DNA double-strand break repair by the homologous recombination pathway. Results from the CIMBA study suggested an increased risk of breast cancer for BRCA2 mutation carriers with two copies of the ‘C’ allele at the 135G → C SNP (rs 1801320) in the 5′ untranslated region of RAD51 (Antoniou et al, 2007). This result suggests that other genes involved in DNA repair could as also function as cancer risk modifiers for BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutation carriers.

It has been proven that a deficiency in the base excision repair (BER) pathway can give rise to stalling of the replication fork and accumulation of double-strand DNA breaks which, in the presence of a defective BRCA1 or BRCA2 background, could persist and lead to cell cycle arrest or cell death (Farmer et al, 2005). This synthetic lethality interaction led us to hypothesise that SNPs in genes participating in this pathway could be potential modifiers of cancer risk in BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutation carriers. The XRCC1 gene is involved in the BER pathway and its association with different types of cancer have been extensively investigated, with no conclusive results (Kiyohara et al, 2006; Figueroa et al, 2007; Naccarati et al, 2007; Doecke et al, 2008; Fontana et al, 2008; McWilliams et al, 2008; Chang et al, 2009; Zhai et al, 2009). Four SNPs in XRCC1, three of them leading to amino acid changes (p.Arg194Trp, p.Arg280His and p.Gln399Arg) and one in the promoter region (c.-77C>T) are within the most common in terms of minor allele frequency, and a potential effect on the function of the XRCC1 protein has been suggested for them, although no clear association with breast cancer risk has been reported (Takanami et al, 2005; Hao et al, 2006; Sterpone et al, 2009; Sterpone et al, 2010). Nevertheless, the specific interaction mentioned above suggests that common variation in XRCC1 may have an effect on breast cancer risk for BRCA1 or BRCA2 mutation carriers. In this study, we aimed to assess this hypothesis for the three most studied SNPs in XRCC1, c.-77C>T (rs3213245) p.Arg280His (rs25489) and p.Gln399Arg (rs25487) using a two-stage approach.

Material and methods

Patients

Eligible subjects were female carriers of deleterious mutations in BRCA1 or BRCA2 aged ≥18 years from which complete information about year of birth, mutation description, age at last follow-up, ages at breast and or ovarian cancer diagnosis and age or date of prophylactic mastectomy was available (Antoniou et al, 2008). A total of 14 collaborating CIMBA studies from 10 countries, contributed genotypes for the study. Details of each study along with the numbers of samples included from each are provided in Table 1. The CNIO, ICO and MBCSG studies participated in the first stage in which the three SNPs, rs3213245, rs25489 and rs25487 were analysed and a potential association between rs25489 and breast cancer risk was identified. The remaining CIMBA samples were included in the stage II analysis and contributed genotypes for rs25489 only.

Table 1 Number of BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutation carriers by study

Subjects who reported having ethnicity other than white European were excluded from the analyses. This gave a total of 7496 female mutation carriers (4480 with mutations in BRCA1 and 3016 with mutations in BRCA2), 3891 of whom had been diagnosed with breast cancer (2293 and 1598 with mutations in BRCA1 and BRCA2, respectively). All carriers participated in clinical and/or research studies at the host institution under IRB-approved protocols.

Genotyping

The genotyping platform used by each study is detailed in Table 1. For 11 studies, matrix assisted laser desorption/ionisation time of flight mass spectrometry was applied to determine allele-specific primer extension products using Sequenom's MassARRAY system and iPLEX technology (Sequenom, San Diego, CA, USA). The design of oligonucleotides was carried out according to the guidelines of Sequenom and performed using MassARRAY Assay Design software (version 3.1). Three studies carried out genotyping by nuclease assay (Taqman). Taqman genotyping reagents were designed by Applied Biosystems (http://www.appliedbiosystems.com/) as Assays-by-Design. Genotyping was performed using the ABI PRISM 7900HT, 7700 or 7500 Sequence Detection Systems according to manufacturer's instructions. All studies complied with CIMBA genotyping quality control standards (http://www.srl.cam.ac.uk/consortia/cimba/eligibility/eligibility.html).

Statistical analysis

To test for departure from Hardy–Weinberg equilibrium a single individual was randomly selected from each family and Pearson's χ2-test (1 d.f.) was applied to genotypes from this set of individuals. The association of the SNPs with breast cancer risk was assessed by estimating hazard ratios (HRs) and their corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using weighted multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression with robust estimates of variance (Antoniou et al, 2005). For each mutation carrier, we modelled the time to diagnosis of breast cancer from birth, censoring at the first of the following events: bilateral prophylactic mastectomy, breast cancer diagnosis, ovarian cancer diagnosis, death and date last know to be alive. Subjects were considered affected if their age at censoring corresponded to their age at diagnosis of breast cancer and unaffected otherwise. Weights were assigned separately for carriers of mutations in BRCA1 and BRCA2, by age (<25, 25–29, 30–34, 35–39, 40–44, 45–49, 50–54, 55–59, 60–64, 65–69, 70) and affection status, so that the weighted observed incidences in the sample agreed with established estimates for mutation carriers (Antoniou et al, 2003). This approach has been shown to adjust for the bias inherent in the oversampling of affected women because of the ascertainment criteria used (Antoniou et al, 2005).

We considered log-additive and co-dominant genetic models and tested for departure from HR=1 by applying a Wald test based on the log−HR estimate and its standard error. Additional independent variables included in all analyses were year of birth (<1930, 1930–1939, 1940–1949, 1950–1959, 1960–1969, 1970), study centre and country. Heterogeneity in HRs by study centre was assessed by the χ2 equivalent of a Wald test based on the interaction terms for the per-allele effect by centre (on 13 d.f.). A number of sensitivity analyses were applied, including censoring at bilateral prophylactic oophorectomy (BPO), adjusting for BPO (as a time-varying covariate) and excluding prevalent cases, defined as those diagnosed more than 3 years before the interview.

All statistical analyses were carried out using Stata: Release 10 (StataCorp. 2007. Stata Statistical Software: Release 10.0. College Station, TX, USA: Stata Corporation LP). Robust estimates of variance were calculated using the cluster sub-command, applied to an identifier variable unique to each family.

Results and discussion

In this study, we aimed to evaluate the role of three of the most studied SNPs in the XRCC1 gene, c.-77C>T (rs3213245) p.Arg280His (rs25489) and p.Gln399Arg (rs25487) as modifiers of breast cancer risk in BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutation carriers. The study was conducted in two stages, the first analysing the three SNPs in 1277 mutation carries (701 in BRCA1 and 576 in BRCA2) from three CIMBA study centres (CNIO, ICO and MBCSG). No evidence of association was detected for c.-77C>T or p.Gln399Arg with breast cancer risk in neither BRCA1 nor BRCA2 mutation carriers (P0.2). However, an association was observed between p.Arg280His and breast cancer risk for BRCA2 mutation carriers, with rare homozygotes at increased risk relative to common homozygotes (HR: 22.3, 95% CI: 14.3–34, P<0.001; Table 2). The apparent increased risk was consistent with the fact that the 280His allele decreases DNA repair capacity (Takanami et al, 2005; Pachkowski et al, 2006), however the analysis was based on a very small number (N=2) of homozygous women diagnosed at a very early age and it was therefore essential that this result be investigated in a larger sample set.

Table 2 Genotype frequencies of XRCC1-rs25489 by mutation and disease status and hazard ratio estimates from stages I and II and combined

We therefore extended the analysis of the p.Arg280His-rs25489 SNP to 6219 carriers from 11 additional CIMBA study centres. Results from stage II and both stages combined are summarised in Table 2. No evidence of an association of AA vs GG homozygotes with breast cancer risk was observed for BRCA2 mutation carriers (HR: 0.73, 95% CI: 0.21–2.52, P=0.6 in stage II and HR: 1.08, 95% CI: 0.37–3.17, P=0.9 in the combined), nor for BRCA1 mutation carriers or all mutation carriers combined. We observed no evidence of between-study heterogeneity for carriers of mutations in BRCA2 (P=0.8). There was evidence of heterogeneity in the per-allele HR for BRCA1 mutation carriers (P=0.006); exclusion of subjects from potential outlier studies did not eliminated this evidence (P<0.05) and the estimated HR estimate did not change substantially. Several sensitivity analyses were carried out (see Materials and methods), but results did not change substantially and so only those from the main analysis are presented in this report.

Our results do not provide support for the hypothesis that the three most common and putatively functional SNPs in XRCC1 modify breast cancer risk for BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutation carriers. However, given the demonstrated interaction that exists between the homologous recombination and BER DNA repair pathways, additional SNPs in XRCC1 and other genes involved in BER should be assessed as risk modifiers for BRCA1/2 mutation carriers in future studies.