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Climate science

A high bar for decadal forecasts of El Niño


Climate simulations suggest that multi-decadal periods of high and low variability in the phenomenon known as the El Niño-Southern Oscillation in the tropical Pacific Ocean may be entirely unpredictable.

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Figure 1: Decadal forecasts of El Niño–Southern Oscillation activity.


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Correspondence to Pedro DiNezio.

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DiNezio, P. A high bar for decadal forecasts of El Niño. Nature 507, 437–439 (2014).

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