Climate change and the ecologist

The evidence for rapid climate change now seems overwhelming. Global temperatures are predicted to rise by up to 4 °C by 2100, with associated alterations in precipitation patterns. Assessing the consequences for biodiversity, and how they might be mitigated, is a Grand Challenge in ecology.

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Figure 1: The main factors, or 'drivers', affecting biodiversity.
Figure 2: The probabilistic approach to forecasting biodiversity.
Figure 3: The complex web of factors affecting human health and well-being, biodiversity and ecosystems.

Further Reading

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    Parmesan, C. Annu. Rev. Ecol. Evol. Syst. 37, 637–669 (2006).

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Thuiller, W. Climate change and the ecologist. Nature 448, 550–552 (2007).

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