Sir
I was surprised to read in Don Ihde's review of David Nye's Technology Matters: Questions to Live With (Nature 442, 984; 2006) that “of the 1,500 published predictions from scientists, inventors and sociologists [historian George Wise] surveyed, only a third were fulfilled”. To be precise, I wonder at the use of the word “only”. Anyone able to predict the outcome of a horse race one out of three times could make a handsome income. It seems an impressive success rate to me.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Pimple, K. Science prediction rate would be good in gambling. Nature 443, 632 (2006). https://doi.org/10.1038/443632e
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/443632e