For California, probabilistic principles can be applied to the short-term forecasting of further ground-shaking following an earthquake. How such predictions will be used by the public remains to be seen.
This is a preview of subscription content, access via your institution
Subscribe to this journal
Receive 51 print issues and online access
$199.00 per year
only $3.90 per issue
Rent or buy this article
Prices vary by article type
Prices may be subject to local taxes which are calculated during checkout
Gerstenberger, M. C., Wiemer, S., Jones, L. M. & Reasenberg, P. A. Nature 435, 328–331 (2005).
Reasenberg, P. & Jones, L. M. Science 243, 1173–1176 (1989).
Evison, F. F. & Rhoades, D. A. NZ J. Geol. Geophys. 36, 51–60 (1993).
Evison, F. F. & Rhoades, D. A. NZ J. Geol. Geophys. 40, 537–547 (1997).
Kagan, Y. Y. & Jackson, D. D. Geophys. J. Int. 143, 438–453 (2000).
Schorlemmer, D. et al. J. Geophys. Res. 109, B12308 doi:10.1029/2004JB003235 (2004).
Stark, P. B. Geophys. J. Int. 131, 495–499 (1997).
About this article
Cite this article
Agnew, D. Future shock in California. Nature 435, 284–285 (2005). https://doi.org/10.1038/435284a