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Earthquakes

Future shock in California

For California, probabilistic principles can be applied to the short-term forecasting of further ground-shaking following an earthquake. How such predictions will be used by the public remains to be seen.

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Figure 1: Variability in aftershocks for four earthquakes in California.

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Agnew, D. Future shock in California. Nature 435, 284–285 (2005). https://doi.org/10.1038/435284a

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