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Climate science

The investment forecast

New studies predict that the risk of extreme rainfall over Europe and Asian monsoon regions is increasing, with more floods likely worldwide. Such long-range forecasting is pushing at the limit of current climate models.

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Figure 1: Heavy floods, such as this one in Oregon City, United States, in 1996, can have a huge impact on human affairs.
Figure 2: The pitfalls of forecasting extreme climate events.


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Correspondence to Reiner Schnur.

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Schnur, R. The investment forecast. Nature 415, 483–484 (2002).

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