Abstract
IN the current debate on the magnitude of modern-day climate change, there is a growing appreciation of the importance of long, high-resolution proxies of past climate1–3. Such records provide an indication of natural (pre-anthropogenic) climate variability, either singly at specific geographical locations or in combination on continental and perhaps even hemispheric scales4. There are, however, relatively few records that are well dated, of high resolution and of verifiable fidelity in terms of climate response, and conspicuously few that extend over a thousand years or more5. Here we report a tree-ring-based reconstruction of mean summer temperatures over the northern Urals since AD 914. This record shows that the mean temperature of the twentieth century (1901–90) is higher than during any similar period since AD 914.
This is a preview of subscription content
Access options
Subscribe to Journal
Get full journal access for 1 year
$199.00
only $3.90 per issue
All prices are NET prices.
VAT will be added later in the checkout.
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.
Buy article
Get time limited or full article access on ReadCube.
$32.00
All prices are NET prices.
References
Eddy, J. A. Global IGBP Change Report No. 19 (International Geosphere-Biosphere Programme, Stockholm, 1992).
Bradley, R. S. (ed.) Global Changes of the Past (University Corporation for Atmospheric Res./Office of Interdisciplinary Earth Studies, Boulder, 1991).
Bradley, R. S. & Jones, P. D. (eds) Climate Since A.D. 1500 (Routledge, London, 1992).
Bradley, R. S. & Jones, P. D. The Holocene 3, 367–376 (1993).
Hughes, M. K. & Diaz, H. F. Clim. Change 26, 109–142 (1994).
Shiyatov, S. G. Dendrochronology in the Upper Tree Line in the Urals (Nauka, Moscow, 1986) (in Russian).
Graybill, D. A. & Shiyatov, S. G. in Climate Since A.D. 1500 (eds Bradley, R. S. & Jones, P. D.) 393–414 (Routledge, London, 1992).
Shiyatov, S. G. & Mazepa, V. S. in Methods of Dendrochronology Vol. 1 (eds Kairiukstis, L. A., Bednarz, Z. & Feliksik, E.) 87–96 (IIASA/Polish Acad. Sci.—Systems Res. Inst., Warsaw, 1987).
Cook, E. R., Briffa, K. R., Shiyatov, S. G. & Mazepa, V. S. in Methods of Dendrochronology (eds Cook, E. R. & Kairiukstis, L. A.) 104–123 (Kluwer/IIASA, Dordrecht, 1990).
Fritts, H. C. Tree Rings and Climate (Academic, London, 1976).
Schweingruber, F. H. Tree Rings: Basics and Applications of Dendrochronology (Reidel, Dordrecht, 1988).
Briffa, K. R. et al. Clim. Dyn. 7, 111–119 (1992).
Jacoby, G. C. & Cook, E. R. Arct. Alp. Res. 13, 409–418 (1981).
Briffa, K. R., Jones, P. D., Pilcher, J. R. & Hughes, M. K. Arct. Alp. Res. 20, 385–394 (1988).
Briffa, K. R. et al. Nature 346, 434–439 (1990).
Schweingruber, F. H., Briffa, K. R. & Nogler, P. Int. J. Biomet. 37, 151–169 (1993).
Jones, P. D. et al. J. Clim. appl. Met. 25, 161–179 (1986).
Jones, P. D. & Briffa, K. R. Int. J. Climatol. (in the press).
D'Arrigo, R. D. & Jacoby, G. C. Jr in Climate Since A.D. 1500 (eds. Bradley, R. S. & Jones, P. D.) 296–311 (Routledge, London, 1992).
Folland, C. K., Karl, T. R. & Vinnikov, K. Ya. in Climate Change: the IPCC Assessment (eds Houghton, J. T., Jenkins, G. J. & Ephraums, J. J.) 195–238 (WMO/UNEP, Cambridge Univ. Press, 1990).
Zwiers, F. W. & von Storch, H. J. Clim. 8, 336–351 (1995).
Cubasch, U. et al. Clim. Dyn. 8, 55–69 (1992).
Gates, W. L., Mitchell, J. F. B., Boer, G. J., Cubasch, U. & Meleshko, V. P. in Climate Change 1992: The Supplementary Report to the IPCC Scientific Assessment (eds Houghton, J. T., Callander, B. A. & Varney, S. K.) 97–134 (WMO/UNEP, Cambridge Univ. Press, 1992).
Santer, B. D. et al. Clim. Dyn. (in the press).
Delworth, T., Manabe, S. & Stouffer, R. J. J. Clim. 6, 1993–2011 (1993).
Stocker, T. F. Nature 367, 221–222 (1994).
Schlesinger, M. E. & Ramankutty, N. Nature 367, 723–726 (1994).
Briffa, K. R., Jones, P. D., Schweingruber, F. H., Karlén, W. & Shiyatov, S. G. in Climate Fluctuations and Forcing Mechanisms of the Last 2,000 Years (eds Jones, P. D., Bradley, R. S. & Jouzel, J.) (Springer, Berlin, in the press).
Cook, E. R. & Briffa, K. R. in Methods of Dendrochronology (eds Cook, E. R. & Kairiukstis, L. A.) 153–162 (Kluwer/IIASA, Dordrecht, 1990).
Cook, E. R., Briffa, K. R. & Jones, P. D. Int. J. Climatol. 14, 379–402 (1994).
Wigley, T. M. L., Briffa, K. R. & Jones, P. D. J. Clim. appl. Met. 23, 201–213 (1984).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Briffa, K., Jones, P., Schweingruber, F. et al. Unusual twentieth-century summer warmth in a 1,000-year temperature record from Siberia. Nature 376, 156–159 (1995). https://doi.org/10.1038/376156a0
Received:
Accepted:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/376156a0
Further reading
-
Effects of climate on the tree ring density and weight of Betula ermanii in a cool temperate forest in central Japan
Trees (2022)
-
The European Russia Drought Atlas (1400–2016 CE)
Climate Dynamics (2020)
-
Climatic change in southern Kazakhstan since 1850 C.E. inferred from tree rings
International Journal of Biometeorology (2020)
-
Spatio-statistical analysis of temperature fluctuation using Mann–Kendall and Sen’s slope approach
Climate Dynamics (2017)
-
Precipitation reconstruction for the northwestern Chinese Altay since 1760 indicates the drought signals of the northern part of inner Asia
International Journal of Biometeorology (2016)
Comments
By submitting a comment you agree to abide by our Terms and Community Guidelines. If you find something abusive or that does not comply with our terms or guidelines please flag it as inappropriate.