A method for prediction of volcanic eruptions

Abstract

The relationship Ω·–α Ω¨ – A = 0 describes the behaviour of materials in terminal stages of failure, where Ω is an observable quantity such as strain, and A and α are empirical constants. Drawing on analogies between failure mechanics and eruption processes at volcanoes, Ω is interpreted in terms of conventional geodetic, seismic or geochemical observations. Manipulation of Ω provides a consistent analytical basis for eruption prediction.

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Voight, B. A method for prediction of volcanic eruptions. Nature 332, 125–130 (1988). https://doi.org/10.1038/332125a0

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