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Nature 419, 188-190 (12 September 2002) | doi:10.1038/nature01087

commentary Reducing uncertainty about carbon dioxide as a climate driver

Lee R. Kump

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The lack of an adequate ancient analogue for future climates means that we ultimately must use and trust climate models, evaluated against modern observation and our best geologic records of warm and cold climates of the past. Armed with an elevated confidence in the models, we will then be able to make reliable predictions of the Earth's response to our risky experiment with the climate system.