Skip to main content

Thank you for visiting nature.com. You are using a browser version with limited support for CSS. To obtain the best experience, we recommend you use a more up to date browser (or turn off compatibility mode in Internet Explorer). In the meantime, to ensure continued support, we are displaying the site without styles and JavaScript.

  • News & Views
  • Published:

Rogue waves

Predicting the unpredictable?

Methods of nonlinear time series analysis shed new light on the nature and predictability of extreme events.

This is a preview of subscription content, access via your institution

Relevant articles

Open Access articles citing this article.

Access options

Figure 1: Nonlinear time series analysis provides clues of rogue event predictability.

References

  1. Kharif, C. & Pelinovsky, E. Eur. J. Mech. B 22, 603–634 (2003).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. Solli, D. R., Ropers, C., Koonath, P. & Jalali, B. Nature 450, 1054–1057 (2007).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  3. Dudley, J. M., Dias, F., Erkintalo, M. & Genty, G. Nature Photon. 8, 755–764 (2014).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  4. Akhmediev, N., Ankiewicz, A., Soto-Crespo, J. M. & Dudley, J. M. Phys. Lett. A 375, 541–544 (2011).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  5. Latifah, A. L. & van Groesen, E. Nonlin. Processes Geophys. 19, 199–213 (2012).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  6. Alam, M-R. Geophys. Res. Lett. 41, 8477–8485 (2014).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  7. Birkholz, S., Brée, C., Demircan, A. & Steinmeyer, G. Phys. Rev. Lett. 114, 213901 (2015).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  8. Elgar, S. & Mayer-Kress, G. Physica D 37, 104–108 (1989).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  9. Bergamasco, L., Serio, M., Osborne, A. R. & Cavaleri, L. Fractals 3, 55–78 (1995).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Virte, M., Panajotov, K., Thienpoint, H. & Sciamanna, M. Nature Photon. 7, 60–65 (2013).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  11. Theiler, J. Integr. Physiol. Behav. Sci. 29, 211–216 (1994).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. Grassberger, P. & Procaccia, I. Phys. Rev. Lett. 50, 346–349 (1983).

    Article  ADS  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  13. Birkholz, S. et al. Phys. Rev. Lett. 111, 243903 (2013).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  14. Dudley, J. M., Genty, G. & Coen, S. Rev. Mod. Phys. 78, 1135–1184 (2006).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  15. Theiler, J. J. Opt. Soc. Am. A 7, 1055–1073 (1990).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  16. Lehnertz, K. & Elger, C. E. Phys. Rev. Lett. 80, 5019–5022 (1998).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  17. Sciamanna, M. & Shore, K. A. Nature Photon. 9, 151–162 (2015).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  18. Lorenz, E. N. et al. Atmos. Sci. 20, 130–141 (1963).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Miro Erkintalo.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Erkintalo, M. Predicting the unpredictable?. Nature Photon 9, 560–562 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1038/nphoton.2015.161

Download citation

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/nphoton.2015.161

This article is cited by

Search

Quick links

Nature Briefing

Sign up for the Nature Briefing newsletter — what matters in science, free to your inbox daily.

Get the most important science stories of the day, free in your inbox. Sign up for Nature Briefing