Abstract
Stress transfer from a large earthquake may trigger subsequent earthquakes in nearby regions1,2,3. Such a mechanism has been suggested for a few isolated cases of magmatic intrusions and eruptions4,5,6, but has not been systematically demonstrated. An ongoing rifting episode, which began in 2005, along the Nubia–Arabia plate boundary provides a unique opportunity to test any such linkage. The intrusion of a 60-km-long magmatic dyke marked the beginning of the episode7,8,9,10,11,12 and, between June 2006 and July 2009, 12 more dykes were emplaced13. Here we use geodetic surveys and simple dislocation models to locate and quantify the extension that occurred during each event. We identify regions where tensile stress was increased (unclamped) by the previous dyke intrusions. Of the 12 events that followed the initial intrusion, nine dykes were observed to have at least half of their opening in regions unclamped by the previous events. We propose that the transfer of stress links the 13 dyke intrusion events. We suggest that the stress change that is induced by a new dyke is an important factor in determining the location of future events and could help improve volcanic hazard analysis.
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Change history
01 October 2010
In the version of this Letter originally published, the positions of several of the outlines of dyke openings in Figure 2 were incorrect. These errors have now been corrected in the HTML and PDF versions of the text.
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Acknowledgements
We would like to thank the Geophysical Observatory of Addis Ababa University, the Afar Regional government and the Ethiopian Ministries of Capacity Building, and of Mines and Energy for their help and support. Thanks to J. Cann, G. Houseman, J. Neuberg and R. Buck for discussions and to C. Ebinger for help with GPS data acquisition and funding support. Our work is supported by NERC grants NE/D008611/1, NE/D01039X/1 and NE/E007414/1, NSF grants EAR-0635789 and EAR-0613651, a NERC-COMET studentship to I.J.H., an Exxon-Mobil fellowship to L.B. and a Royal Society University Research Fellowship to T.J.W. Radar data is from the European Space Agency under project C1P-3435.
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I.J.H. and T.J.W. planned and processed the InSAR data. E.C., L.B. and E.L. collected and processed GPS data. I.J.H. carried out the elastic modelling and wrote the paper with contributions from all the co-authors.
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Hamling, I., Wright, T., Calais, E. et al. Stress transfer between thirteen successive dyke intrusions in Ethiopia. Nature Geosci 3, 713–717 (2010). https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo967
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo967
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