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Letter

Nature Geoscience 1, 359–364 (1 June 2008) | doi:10.1038/ngeo202

Simulated reduction in Atlantic hurricane frequency under twenty-first-century warming conditions

Thomas R. Knutson , Joseph J. Sirutis , Stephen T. Garner , Gabriel A. Vecchi & Isaac M. Held

Increasing sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic|[nbsp]|Ocean and measures of Atlantic hurricane activity have been reported to be strongly correlated since at least 1950 (refs|[nbsp]|1, 2, 3, 4, 5), raising concerns that future greenhouse-gas-induced warming could lead to pronounced increases in hurricane activity. Models that explicitly simulate hurricanes are needed to study the influence of warming ocean temperatures on Atlantic hurricane activity, complementing empirical approaches.