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Published online 7 December 2005 | Nature | doi:10.1038/news051205-4

Column

Are you confident about that?

The impulse to use statistics to forecast doomsday is an old one. But can we believe the numbers, asks Philip Ball?

Statistics challenge our intuition even when they concern rolls of the dice. When our own destruction is at issue, they become almost mystically ungraspable.

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