Abstract
The movement of tectonic plates leads to strain build-up in the Earth, which can be released during earthquakes when one side of a seismic fault suddenly slips with respect to the other. The amount of seismic strain release (or ‘strain drop’) is thus a direct measurement of a basic earthquake property, that is, the ratio of seismic slip over the dimension of the ruptured fault. Here the analysis of a new global catalogue, containing ~1,700 earthquakes with magnitude larger than 6, suggests that strain drop is independent of earthquake depth and magnitude. This invariance implies that deep earthquakes are even more similar to their shallow counterparts than previously thought, a puzzling finding as shallow and deep earthquakes are believed to originate from different physical mechanisms. More practically, this property contributes to our ability to predict the damaging waves generated by future earthquakes.
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Introduction
Earthquakes occur over a broad range of magnitudes, from microearthquakes with negative magnitudes to giant subduction earthquakes with magnitudes around 9 (for example, 2004 Sumatra earthquake and 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake). In terms of seismic moment, which is proportional to the product of the seismic fault area and average slip, the earthquake size spans over >15 orders of magnitude. Does the earthquake mechanism remain similar despite this extreme variability of sizes? This question has motivated the pioneering works of Aki1 and Kanamori and Anderson2, and these studies indicated that shallow earthquakes tend to release a similar amount of shear stress (0.1–10 MPa), independent of their magnitude. The constant stress drop hypothesis has since been confirmed, using a larger number of earthquakes3 and over a wider magnitude range4. On the other hand, deep earthquakes (50–670 km) have been globally shown to have a higher stress drop (typically one order of magnitude5,6), but the more detailed features of the stress drop depth evolution have remained unclear7,8,9,10,11.
The stress drop Δσ is simply expressed by Δσ=K μS/L, where μ, S, L and K are the Earth rigidity, the average slip, a characteristic rupture dimension and a coefficient close to 1 (ref. 2), respectively. In a bidimensional source model (for example, elliptical), the stress drop can be written as:
where M0 is the seismic moment. As the characteristic rupture dimension is difficult to evaluate for the majority of earthquakes, most studies determine it indirectly through estimations of temporal or spectral seismogram values, assuming a constant rupture velocity. Both temporal and spectral approaches require an appropriate modelling of the seismic propagation effects to isolate the seismic source contribution. Spectral methods are based on the determination of the corner frequency of the seismograms3,12,13,14 assuming a particular rupture model. The determination of the corner frequency is not straightforward, as it depends on the spectral fall-off rate and can be made uncertain by the smoothness of the transition between low- and high-frequency regimes15.
Temporal methods generally use the duration T of the source time function (STF), obtained after deconvolution of the Green’s function from the seismograms11,16,17. The STF represents the seismic moment rate as a function of time and T is therefore an objective measurement of the earthquake duration. T is directly related to the source dimension L through rupture velocity, and assuming that the rupture velocity itself is proportional to the shear velocity VS, we have:
Several studies5,18 support this hypothesis, although they tend to indicate that the average rupture velocity for deep earthquakes is about 0.6VS, somewhat slower than the 0.7–0.8VS empirically determined for shallow earthquakes16,19. Given this small difference, the limited number of deep earthquakes for which rupture velocity can be accurately determined, and a known tendency of underestimating the rupture velocity of deep earthquakes20, no systematic trend of the rupture velocity is considered in most of this study. The effects of such a depth dependency of the rupture velocity will be addressed at the end of the results section. Using equations (1) and (2), we expect:
The practical determination of T may suffer from subjective criteria to determine when the STFs actually begins and ends. Moreover, in the case that an earthquake is composed of two (or more) slip patches separated in time, the stress drop derived from the earthquake duration is underestimated. That is why it is useful to also measure the peak value of the STF (maximum moment rate) Fm. As M0T Fm (seismic moment is the temporal integral of the STF), Fm evolves as:
The dependence of the STF amplitude, less known than the dependence of the STF duration, was already pointed out by Houston17. Equations (3) and (4) can also be written in terms of strain drop Δε, simply proportional to S/L, and Earth density ρ:
A recently developed method, called SCARDEC21, provides simultaneous access to the focal mechanism, seismic moment, depth and STFs of all earthquakes with moment magnitude Mw>6. As SCARDEC is fully automated22, we can easily obtain the STFs for an unprecedented number of earthquakes, spanning the whole depth range from Earth’s surface to ~660 km depth. Past studies using STFs were restricted to deep earthquakes7,8,11,23 or to a limited STF catalogue9,16,17,24,25.
Here we show, via analysis of the exhaustive SCARDEC STF database (1,700 earthquakes), that shallow earthquakes (depth <50 km, 1,200 events) have individual variations of their stress drops, but the general trend confirms that the constant stress drop hypothesis is well respected. Deeper earthquakes have a larger stress drop, but this depth evolution is shown to be well explained by the rigidity increase in the Earth, implying that the strain drop remains constant. In other words, it indicates that, independent of the earthquake depth, magnitude 6 and larger earthquakes keep on average a similar ratio between seismic slip and dimension of the main slip patch.
Results
SCARDEC STFs
Figure 1 shows the locations and focal mechanisms of ~1,700 earthquakes for which a reliable STF has been extracted. Supplementary Figs S1–S3 show that first-order source parameters (seismic moment, depth and moment tensor) are found consistent with the Global Centroid Moment Tensor (GCMT) reference method26,27. This implies that STF characteristics can be safely compared with the SCARDEC depth and magnitude estimates without biasing the results, which is self-consistent compared with relying on external information. Compared with a past global STF catalogue developed by Ruff and colleagues24, SCARDEC catalogue has the advantages of containing many more events and of modelling more accurately large-magnitude earthquakes (above magnitude 7–7.5).
For each of these earthquakes, the STF duration T and its peak moment rate Fm have been measured, as shown in Fig. 2, for several representative cases. Figure 2 also illustrates why Fm can be more objectively determined than T. Independent information on the temporal earthquake characteristics is provided by the low-frequency wave studies (GCMT26,27, W Phase28), which determine the centroid time. Abnormally long or short earthquakes induce a shift of the centroid time, which can be used to detect unusual events29. However, such approaches mainly allow first-order analyses, as they assume that the STF is an isosceles triangle with fixed duration (in this case, the duration T is twice the centroid time). This hypothesis is not always verified as a number of earthquakes have two or more peaks of seismic moment release (a classical example is the 2007 Pisco (Peru, Mw=8.1) earthquake30), or have a long-lasting ‘tail’ after a major peak of moment release. Departures from this assumption can explain part of the dispersion observed between the double of the centroid time and SCARDEC STF duration T (see Supplementary Fig. S4).
Self-similarity of shallow earthquakes
In Fig. 3a,b, Fm and T are plotted as a function of seismic moment, with colours scaled to earthquake depth. As expected, in a self-similar model where stress and strain drop depend little on the magnitude, the logarithmic relations tend to show slopes close to two-third and one-third for Fm and T, respectively. However, a systematic increase of Fm and a systematic decrease of T are observed for deep earthquakes, implying that the product VS Δσ1/3 increases with depth. Figure 3c,d restricts the analysis to earthquakes shallower than 50 km (~1,200 events), which significantly reduces the variability for a given seismic moment. The best linear fit for peak value Fm implies that its seismic moment dependency follows the law =(with α=105.33 and β=0.679). On the other hand, duration T follows the law = (with γ =10−5.36 and δ=0.342). The exponents are close to the two-third and one-third and have large correlation coefficients, indicating that the stress drop does not depend on the earthquake size for shallow earthquakes in the magnitude range 6<Mw<9.
At the global scale, no systematic behaviour is identified inside this shallow depth range, a finding similar to that by Allmann and Shearer3. This does not mean that specific trends do not exist for some types of earthquakes. The most documented case is the interplate subduction earthquake class, whose duration has been shown to decrease when moving from the surface to 50 km depth16. However, in a global catalogue, this tendency is not apparent because very shallow earthquakes can also have brief durations, for example, in intraplate contexts3,17. More generally, the differences between individual earthquakes may be significant for a number of reasons (for example, variations of the rupture velocity of the tectonic context; specific properties of the infrequent large strike-slip events, and so on), but they merely add variability to the regression lines in Fig. 3, without perturbing the main trend.
Strain drop invariance
To quantify the depth effects, the values, scaled at shallow depth, of the STF peaks () and durations (=T/) are now considered. These individual scaled values and their averages over intervals of depth are shown in Fig. 4. By construction, the averaged values are very close to one for the shallowest depth interval. The depth dependence is very clear, as almost none of the earthquakes deeper than 100 km has values lower than unity or values larger than unity. Two simple models are potentially able to match the depth evolutions of and . Using equations (3) and (4), in a constant stress drop model, we have:
where VS0 is the shear velocity at shallow depth. As the shear velocity increases with depth, this model predicts an increase of and a decrease of . However, as shown by the solid green curves in Fig. 4, the simple ratio of the shear velocities deduced from the Preliminary Reference Earth Model (PREM)31 underpredicts the observations. This implies that stress drop increases with depth, by a factor of about 6, between shallow earthquakes and 600-km-deep earthquakes.
An alternative model is a constant strain drop model, which means that the stress drop increase with depth is only related to the rigidity increase. In this case, using equations (5) and (6), we predict:
where ρ0 is the density at shallow depth. The depth dependence is now larger and is able to almost reproduce the observations, as indicated by the solid magenta curves in Fig. 4. In particular, the large contrast between shallow and lithospheric depths (around 100 km) is well reproduced, as is the small and regular tendency inside the upper mantle. The dashed magenta curves in Fig. 4 show that observations can be even closer to the constant strain drop model if ρ0 and VS0 are lower than the PREM values. This hypothesis appears realistic as the majority of shallow earthquakes occur in damaged zones (for example, along the subduction interfaces), where rigidity is expected to be lower than its global average16. We provide in Fig. 4 an observational validation of this hypothesis—consistent with ref. 17—as shallow subduction interface earthquakes (blue crosses) tend to have a lower (and a longer ) than other shallow earthquakes.
If considering the suggested dependence of rupture velocity with depth5,18 by assuming that the average ratio between rupture velocity and shear velocity decreases from 0.8 for shallow earthquakes to 0.6 for 600-km-deep earthquakes, a modest increase of the strain drop with depth is present. As the strain drop variation depends on the cube of the ratio, strain drop should change by a factor of 2.4–3 (and stress drop by a factor of 14–18) when moving from the surface to the deepest seismogenic zones.
Discussion
These observations show that, whatever their magnitude and depth, large earthquakes keep on average a similar ratio between characteristic dimension and average slip over this dimension. A further inspection of the correlation qualities presented in Fig. 3c,d provides insight on the meaning of the word ‘characteristic’. In fact, Fm has a larger correlation with seismic moment than T (0.96 and 0.81, respectively) and Fm can be related to the dominant slip patch of the earthquake (whereas T is related to the whole earthquake process). The observation that Fm follows self-similarity better than T, therefore, indicates that the main slip zone of the earthquakes expands in both directions of the fault plane in a similar manner. The ratio between the average slip and the main patch dimension is independent of the size and depth of the events. The absolute value of this ratio depends on some additional hypotheses (for example, rupture velocity and location of the nucleation point inside the patch), but typical values are in the range 10−4–10−5. Concretely, the amount of slip on a circular patch with a diameter of 10 km is typically 0.1–1 m. The variability is much more directly determined from the s.e. of Fm (Fig. 4), which are equal to ±40% of the mean values. This implies that the strain drop, depending on the cube of Fm, can only vary by a factor of 8 at the 95% confidence level.
These findings have direct implications when building shallow earthquake scenarios, with the scope of simulating realistic ground motions. Such approaches require us to take into account the sources of uncertainty: one of the main crucial ones concerns the characteristics of the source model32. It has been recently shown33 that the stress drop variability inferred from studies using the corner frequency approach3 is too large to explain the variability of the observed ground motions. This apparent paradox is explained, to a large extent, by the robust Fm estimation of the strain and stress drops, which reduces their variability by a factor of 2. Future studies will aim at further quantifying the relations between source and seismic radiation variability.
The stability of the strain drop (both in terms of absolute value and of its limited variability) is also a new constraint on the possible mechanisms of earthquake generation. Shallow earthquakes are thought to originate from the rapid frictional weakening of a fault surface, occurring when shear stress exceeds mechanical friction34,35. Numerical and laboratory experiments based on this behaviour have been able to mimic the seismic waves generated by earthquakes. However, this rupture process should not operate at depths larger than a few tens of kilometres because of too high a confining pressure. Alternative mechanisms are therefore proposed for deep earthquakes, including dehydration embrittlement, anti-crack faulting in a metastable phase and plastic instability5,6. Paradoxically, although the physics should be different, most of the seismological observables for deep earthquakes are similar to shallow earthquakes36. In particular, deep earthquakes also exhibit a double-couple mechanism, indicating slip on a planar surface. The present study indicates that deep and shallow earthquakes differ little even in key aspects of the rupture process: the strain drop invariance implies that the ratio between seismic slip and rupture dimension remains the same. This finding naturally suggests the hypothesis that a single mechanism, for example, plastic instability37, could be responsible for all earthquakes. The existence of several mechanisms, each corresponding to a specific depth range, cannot be ruled out; however, in this case, the difference in their physics should have little repercussion on the resulting earthquake source properties.
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How to cite this article: Vallée, M. Source time function properties indicate a strain drop independent of earthquake depth and magnitude. Nat. Commun. 4:2606 doi: 10.1038/ncomms3606 (2013).
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Acknowledgements
I am grateful to the global broadband seismic network, in particular to the arrays IU, G (Geoscope), II, GE (Geofon), IC and GT for high-quality data and public access to the continuous waveforms. Data have been retrieved through the IRIS (http://www.iris.edu/hq/) and Geoscope (http://geoscope.ipgp.fr/index.php/en/) data centres, with the ‘netdc’ (http://www.iris.edu/manuals/netdc/) and ‘arclink’ (http://www.seiscomp3.org/wiki/doc/applications/arclink) protocols, respectively. These protocols have permitted the easy retrieval of the 60 Gigabytes of seismic data (SAC format) required to conduct this global analysis. This work has benefitted from discussions with Pascal Bernard, Françoise Courboulex, Luis Rivera, Matthieu Causse, and Hiroo Kanamori, and from comments of Dylan Mikesell.
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M.V. is the instigator of the SCARDEC method. He worked on the specific features of the source time functions as a function of depth, on the possible models able to explain them and wrote the manuscript.
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Vallée, M. Source time function properties indicate a strain drop independent of earthquake depth and magnitude. Nat Commun 4, 2606 (2013). https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms3606
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms3606
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