Accurately determining the warming associated with scenarios of greenhouse gas emissions remains an overarching aim of climate modelling. Research now shows that contemporary measurements significantly reduce uncertainty bounds and indicate that some more extreme warming predictions may be less likely.
This is a preview of subscription content, access via your institution
Access options
Subscribe to this journal
Receive 12 print issues and online access
$209.00 per year
only $17.42 per issue
Rent or buy this article
Prices vary by article type
from$1.95
to$39.95
Prices may be subject to local taxes which are calculated during checkout
References
Bodman, R. W., Rayner, P. J. & Karoly, D. J. Nature Clim. Change 3, 725–729 (2013).
Cox, P. M., Betts, R. A., Jones, C. D., Spall, S. A. & Totterdell, I. J. Nature 408, 184–187 (2000).
Taylor, K. E., Stouffer, R. J. & Meehl, G. A. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 93, 485–498 (2012).
Morice, C. P., Kennedy, J. J., Rayner, N. A. & Jones, P. D. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos. 117, D08101 (2012).
Meinshausen, M., Raper, S. C. B. & Wigley, T. M. L. Atmos. Chem. Phys. 11, 1417–1456 (2011).
Otto, A. et al. Nature Geosci. 6, 415–416 (2013).
IPCC Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis (eds Solomon, S. et al.) (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2007).
Stott, P. A. et al. J. Clim. 19, 3055–3069 (2006).
Stainforth, D. A. et al. Nature 433, 403–406 (2005).
Booth, B. B. B. et al. Environ. Res. Lett. 7, 024002 (2012).
Shindell, D. et al. Science 335, 183–189 (2012).
Huntingford, C. et al. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A 369, 2026–2037 (2011).
Lowe, J. A. et al. Environ. Res. Lett. 4, 014012 (2009).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Huntingford, C. Refining global warming projections. Nature Clim Change 3, 704–705 (2013). https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1964
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1964
This article is cited by
-
Model structure in observational constraints on transient climate response
Climatic Change (2015)