Skip to main content

Thank you for visiting nature.com. You are using a browser version with limited support for CSS. To obtain the best experience, we recommend you use a more up to date browser (or turn off compatibility mode in Internet Explorer). In the meantime, to ensure continued support, we are displaying the site without styles and JavaScript.

Climate projection

Refining global warming projections

Accurately determining the warming associated with scenarios of greenhouse gas emissions remains an overarching aim of climate modelling. Research now shows that contemporary measurements significantly reduce uncertainty bounds and indicate that some more extreme warming predictions may be less likely.

This is a preview of subscription content, access via your institution

Access options

Rent or buy this article

Prices vary by article type

from$1.95

to$39.95

Prices may be subject to local taxes which are calculated during checkout

References

  1. Bodman, R. W., Rayner, P. J. & Karoly, D. J. Nature Clim. Change 3, 725–729 (2013).

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  2. Cox, P. M., Betts, R. A., Jones, C. D., Spall, S. A. & Totterdell, I. J. Nature 408, 184–187 (2000).

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  3. Taylor, K. E., Stouffer, R. J. & Meehl, G. A. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 93, 485–498 (2012).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Morice, C. P., Kennedy, J. J., Rayner, N. A. & Jones, P. D. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos. 117, D08101 (2012).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Meinshausen, M., Raper, S. C. B. & Wigley, T. M. L. Atmos. Chem. Phys. 11, 1417–1456 (2011).

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  6. Otto, A. et al. Nature Geosci. 6, 415–416 (2013).

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  7. IPCC Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis (eds Solomon, S. et al.) (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2007).

  8. Stott, P. A. et al. J. Clim. 19, 3055–3069 (2006).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Stainforth, D. A. et al. Nature 433, 403–406 (2005).

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  10. Booth, B. B. B. et al. Environ. Res. Lett. 7, 024002 (2012).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Shindell, D. et al. Science 335, 183–189 (2012).

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  12. Huntingford, C. et al. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A 369, 2026–2037 (2011).

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  13. Lowe, J. A. et al. Environ. Res. Lett. 4, 014012 (2009).

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Chris Huntingford.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Huntingford, C. Refining global warming projections. Nature Clim Change 3, 704–705 (2013). https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1964

Download citation

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1964

This article is cited by

Search

Quick links

Nature Briefing

Sign up for the Nature Briefing newsletter — what matters in science, free to your inbox daily.

Get the most important science stories of the day, free in your inbox. Sign up for Nature Briefing