More rain than snow is likely to fall in the Arctic by the end of the century, owing to global warming.

At present, rain accounts for about 35% of Arctic precipitation. Richard Bintanja and Olivier Andry at the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute in De Bilt used 37 climate models to simulate future precipitation in the region. They found that total precipitation in the Arctic will rise by 50–60% by 2100, with all of the increase coming in the form of rain. In a scenario of moderate greenhouse-gas emissions, rain will make up roughly 40% of this total, whereas if emissions are high this number will be nearer 60%.

Nature Clim. Change http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3240 (2017)