Evidence that the most recently discovered extrasolar planet is virtually at the end of its life is a surprise. The odds of that are very low — similar to drawing two consecutive red aces from a well-shuffled deck of cards.
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Hamilton, D. Secrets that only tides will tell. Nature 460, 1086–1087 (2009). https://doi.org/10.1038/4601086a
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/4601086a