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Essay
Nature 446, 733 (12 April 2007) | doi:10.1038/446733a; Published online 11 April 2007
Connections Capturing human behaviour
Neil Ferguson1
- Neil Ferguson is at the MRC Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modelling, St Mary's Campus, Imperial College London, London W2 1PG, UK.
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Abstract
Understanding the dynamics of infectious-disease transmission demands a holistic approach, yet today's models largely ignore how epidemics change individual behaviour.
We live in an ever more connected, mobile and interdependent world, where small perturbations can have unpredictable and sometimes far-reaching effects. The paradox is that we increasingly demand predictability.
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