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Nature 439, 576-579 (2 February 2006) | doi:10.1038/nature04503;
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Malaria early warnings based on seasonal climate forecasts from multi-model ensembles
The control of epidemic malaria is a priority for the international health community and specific targets for the early detection and effective control of epidemics have been agreed. Interannual climate variability is an important determinant of epidemics in parts of Africa where climate drives both mosquito vector dynamics and parasite development rates.
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