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Nature 435, 284-285 (19 May 2005) | doi:10.1038/435284a; Published online 18 May 2005

Earthquakes:  Future shock in California

Duncan Agnew1

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For California, probabilistic principles can be applied to the short-term forecasting of further ground-shaking following an earthquake. How such predictions will be used by the public remains to be seen.

"What can we expect next?" — this question is foremost in the minds of the public and news media following any widely felt earthquake.

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