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Nature 435, 284-285 (19 May 2005) | doi:10.1038/435284a; Published online 18 May 2005

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Earthquakes:  Future shock in California

Duncan Agnew1

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For California, probabilistic principles can be applied to the short-term forecasting of further ground-shaking following an earthquake. How such predictions will be used by the public remains to be seen.

"What can we expect next?" — this question is foremost in the minds of the public and news media following any widely felt earthquake.

  1. Duncan Agnew is at the Institute of Geophysics and Planetary Physics, Room 221, 8800 Biological Grade, La Jolla, California 92037, USA.
    Email: dagnew@ucsd.edu

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