Figures and Tables
From the following article:
Foreshock sequences and short-term earthquake predictability on East Pacific Rise transform faults
Jeffrey J. McGuire, Margaret S. Boettcher and Thomas H. Jordan
Nature 434, 457-461(24 March 2005)
doi:10.1038/nature03377
Figure 1
Map of the Quebrada (Q), Discovery (D), and Gofar (G) transform faults in the equatorial eastern Pacific, contoured with the bathymetry predicted from the satellite-derived gravity field42.
Full size figure and legend (75K)Figure 2
Space-time distribution of seismicity around the nine mainshocks (Mw
5.4) on the Discovery and Gofar transform faults between May 1996 and December 2001, from the declustered Harvard CMT catalogue.
Figure 3
Aftershocks per mainshock, plotted against the difference between the mainshock magnitude mmain and the catalogue completeness threshold m0.
Full size figure and legend (40K)Figure 4
Foreshock and aftershock rates observed for EPR transform faults (solid symbols) and Southern California (open symbols) in regions of radius R about the mainshock.
Full size figure and legend (62K)Figure 5
Retrospective application of the naive prediction algorithm described in the text to the NOAA-PMEL catalogue (May 1996–November 2001) for the Discovery and Gofar faults.
Full size figure and legend (76K)Figure 6
Molchan's39 error diagram of the failure-to-predict probability 1 - P(F|M) against the probability of alerts P(F) on a logarithmic scale, contoured with probability gain g (solid curves).
Full size figure and legend (61K)





