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Nature 430, 737-738 (12 August 2004) | doi:10.1038/430737a; Published online 11 August 2004

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Climate change:  Models change their tune

Thomas F. Stocker1

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Climate models are usually tuned to match observations. A new approach, in which the models are detuned instead, increases our confidence in projections of future warming.

In 2001, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change published its report stating that the Earth will warm by between 1.4 °C and 5.

  1. Thomas F. Stocker is in the Division of Climate and Environmental Physics, Physics Institute, University of Bern, Sidlerstrasse 5, CH-3012 Bern, Switzerland.
    Email: stocker@climate.unibe.ch

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