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Nature 422, 571-573 (10 April 2003) | doi:10.1038/422571a

Mathematics: Regime change in meteorology

Ian Stewart

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Sudden transitions between large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns — kinds of 'punctuated equilibria' — have a deterministic component that can be exploited to identify preferred dynamic cycles.

Weather is notoriously unpredictable. But there are many kinds of prediction, and it is possible to make scientific predictions about weather without predicting the weather.