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Letters to Nature
Nature 420, 168-171 (14 November 2002) | doi:10.1038/nature01064; Received 21 May 2002; Accepted 31 July 2002
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Director, UQ Centre for Clinical Research
- University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia
- Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
Assistant / Associate
- University of Missouri
- Columbia MO 65211 United States
Synchronization of animal population dynamics by large-scale climate
Eric Post1 & Mads C. Forchhammer2
- Department of Biology, The Pennsylvania State University, 208 Mueller Lab, University Park, Pennsylvania 16802, USA
- Department of Population Ecology, Zoological Institute, University of Copenhagen, Universitetsparken 15, DK-2100 Copenhagen, Denmark
Correspondence to: Eric Post1 Correspondence and requests for material should be sent to E.P. (e-mail: Email: esp10@psu.edu).
Abstract
The hypothesis that animal population dynamics may be synchronized by climate1 is highly relevant in the context of climate change because it suggests that several populations might respond simultaneously to climatic trends if their dynamics are entrained by environmental correlation. The dynamics of many species throughout the Northern Hemisphere are influenced by a single large-scale climate system, the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO)2, 3, which exerts highly correlated regional effects on local weather4. But efforts to attribute synchronous fluctuations of contiguous populations to large-scale climate are confounded by the synchronizing influences of dispersal or trophic interactions5. Here we report that the dynamics of caribou and musk oxen on opposite coasts of Greenland show spatial synchrony among populations of both species that correlates with the NAO index. Our analysis shows that the NAO has an influence in the high degree of cross-species synchrony between pairs of caribou and musk oxen populations separated by a minimum of 1,000 km of inland ice. The vast distances, and complete physical and ecological separation of these species, rule out spatial coupling by dispersal or interaction. These results indicate that animal populations of different species may respond synchronously to global climate change over large regions.
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