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Nature 419, 228 (12 September 2002) | doi:10.1038/nature01092a

review article Towards objective probabalistic climate forecasting

Myles R. Allen1 & David A. Stainforth

A climate forecast is intrinsically five-dimensional, spanning space, time and probability. Mainstream climate modelling has, so far, sacrificed probabilistic resolution almost completely in favour of the other four dimensions1.