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Nature 414, 480-481 (29 November 2001) | doi:10.1038/35107196
The crystal ball of chaos
Robert Adler1
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Abstract
Is it possible to predict when nations are about to descend into internal conflict? The US Central Intelligence Agency thinks so, and has spent millions of dollars on a controversial research programme. Robert Adler reports.
The roll-call of failed states, nations in which governmental meltdowns have led to the death or displacement of millions of people, is depressingly long. From Afghanistan and Bosnia to Rwanda and Somalia, their names have become bywords for misery.
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