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Correspondence

Nature 389, 903 (30 October 1997) | doi:10.1038/39982

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Recent trends in the BSE epidemic

C. A. Donnelly1, A. C. Ghani1, N. M. Ferguson1 & R. M. Anderson1

  1. Wellcome Trust Centre for the Epidemiology of Infectious Disease, Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, South Parks Road, Oxford OX1 3PS, UK
    e-mail: Email: christl.donnelly@zoo.ox.ac.uk

The confirmation of 21 cases of new variant Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease (vCJD) in humans by 31 August 1997 and the continuing ban on the export of beef and cattle from the United Kingdom have stimulated a continuing interest in the past, present and future course of the bovine spongiform encephalopathy (BSE) epidemic in the United Kingdom. We report analyses of the latest available BSE case data (for which we are grateful to J.