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Predicting the CJD epidemic in humans

Fourteen cases of new-variant Creutzfeldt–Jakob disease have so far been confirmed in the United Kingdom. Are they the start of an epidemic? If so, how informative will cases in the next few years be in predicting its course?

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Cousens, S., Vynnycky, E., Zeidler, M. et al. Predicting the CJD epidemic in humans. Nature 385, 197–198 (1997). https://doi.org/10.1038/385197a0

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