Skip to main content

Thank you for visiting nature.com. You are using a browser version with limited support for CSS. To obtain the best experience, we recommend you use a more up to date browser (or turn off compatibility mode in Internet Explorer). In the meantime, to ensure continued support, we are displaying the site without styles and JavaScript.

  • Letter
  • Published:

Extinction of species by periodic comet showers

Abstract

A 26-Myr periodicity has recently been seen in the fossil record of extinction in the geological past1. At least two of these extinctions are known to be associated with the impact on the Earth of a comet or asteroid with a diameter of a few kilometres (refs 2, 3). We propose that the periodic events are triggered by an unseen companion to the Sun, travelling in a moderately eccentric orbit, which at its closest approach (perihelion) passes through the ‘Oort cloud’ of comets which surrounds the Sun (ref. 4; see ref. 5 for a review and ref. 6 for a more recent analysis). During each passage this unseen solar companion perturbs the orbits of these comets, sending a large number of them (over 1 × 109) into paths which reach the inner Solar System. Several of these hit the Earth, on average, in the following million years. At present the unseen companion should be approximately at its maximum distance from the Sun, 2.4 light yr, and it will present no danger to the Earth until approximately AD 15,000,000.

This is a preview of subscription content, access via your institution

Access options

Buy this article

Prices may be subject to local taxes which are calculated during checkout

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. Raup, D. M. & Sepkoski, J. J. Proc. natn. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. 81, 801–805 (1984).

    Article  ADS  CAS  Google Scholar 

  2. Alvarez, L. W., Alvarez, W., Asaro, F., & Michel, H. V. Science 208, 1095–1108 (1980).

    Article  ADS  CAS  Google Scholar 

  3. Alvarez, W., Asaro, F., Michel, H. V. & Alvarez, L. W. Science 216, 886–888 (1982).

    Article  ADS  CAS  Google Scholar 

  4. Oort, J. H. Bull. astr. Insts. Neth. 11, 91 (1950).

    ADS  Google Scholar 

  5. Oort, J. H. in The Moon, Meteorites, and Comets, 665 (eds Middlehurst, B. M. & Kuiper, G. P.) (University of Chicago Press, 1963).

    Google Scholar 

  6. Marsden, B. G. & Roemer, B. in Comets (ed. Wilkening, L. L.) 707–733 (University of Arizona Press, Tucson, 1982).

    Google Scholar 

  7. Fischer, A. G. & Arthur, M. A. Soc. Econ. Paleont. Min. Spec. Publ. 25, 19–50 (1977).

    Google Scholar 

  8. Alvarez, L. W. Proc. natn. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. 80, 627–642 (1983).

    Article  ADS  CAS  Google Scholar 

  9. Silver, L. T. & Schultz, P. H. (eds) Geol. Soc. Am. Spec. Pap. 190 (Boulder, Colorado, 1982).

  10. Napier, W. M. & Clube, S. V. M. Nature 282, 455–459 (1979); Earth planet Sci. Lett. 57, 251–262 (1982).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  11. Shoemaker, E. M. A. Rev. Earth Planet. Sci. 11, 461–494 (1983).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  12. Hills, J. G. Astron. J. 86, 1730–1740 (1981).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  13. Heggie, D. C. Rev. mex. Astr. Astrofis. 3, 169 (1977); Mon. Not. R. astr. Soc. 173, 729–787 (1975).

    ADS  Google Scholar 

  14. Retterer, J. M. & King, I. R. Astrophys. J. 254, 214–220 (1982).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  15. Bailey, M. E. Mon. Not. R. atsr. Soc. 204, 603–633 (1983).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  16. Weissman, P. R. Astr. Astrophys. 85, 191–196 (1980).

    ADS  Google Scholar 

  17. Everhart, E. Astr. J. 74, 735–750 (1969).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  18. van de Kamp, P. A. Rev. Astr. Astrophys. 9, 103–126 (1971).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  19. Harrison, E. R. Nature 270, 324–326 (1977).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  20. Henrichs, H. F. & Staller, R. F. Nature 273, 132–134 (1978).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  21. Bignami, G. F., Caraveo, P. A. & Lamb, R. C. Astrophys. J. 272, L9–L13 (1983).

    Article  ADS  CAS  Google Scholar 

  22. Luyten, W. J. NLTT Catalogue, Univ. Minnesota (1976).

  23. Bahcall, J. N. & Soneira, R. Astrophys. J. 246, 122 (1981).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  24. Alvarez, W. & Muller, R. A. Lawrence Berkeley Lab. Preprint LBL-17300 (1984); Nature 308, 718–720 (1984).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  25. Keller, G., D'Hondt, S. & Vallier, T. Science 221, 150–152 (1983).

    Article  ADS  CAS  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Davis, M., Hut, P. & Muller, R. Extinction of species by periodic comet showers. Nature 308, 715–717 (1984). https://doi.org/10.1038/308715a0

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/308715a0

This article is cited by

Comments

By submitting a comment you agree to abide by our Terms and Community Guidelines. If you find something abusive or that does not comply with our terms or guidelines please flag it as inappropriate.

Search

Quick links

Nature Briefing

Sign up for the Nature Briefing newsletter — what matters in science, free to your inbox daily.

Get the most important science stories of the day, free in your inbox. Sign up for Nature Briefing