Abstract
SITUATIONS frequently occur in which a successful outcome depends on an individual making a correct choice at each of several more or less independent stages. The choice of mode of transport at various stages of a journey is one example. Comparable predicaments occur in professional, administrative, political and military life, and in communication networks generally. The temporal order of the several choices is not invariably a vital factor. Furthermore, the situation as a whole may have a stochastic character in that the probability of correct choice may vary from stage to stage.
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References
Cohen, J., Boyle, L. E., and Chesnick, E. I., Occup. Psychol., 43, 129 (1969).
Cohen, J., and Hansel, C. E. M., Acta Psychol., 13, 357 (1958).
Sambursky, S., Osiris, 12, 35 (1956).
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COHEN, J., CHESNICK, E. & HARAN, D. Evaluation of Compound Probabilities in Sequential Choice. Nature 232, 414–416 (1971). https://doi.org/10.1038/232414a0
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/232414a0
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