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Experimental forecasts of El Niño

Abstract

Experimental forecasts of El Niño events occurring since 1970, made with a deterministic model of the coupled ocean-atmosphere system, indicate that El Niño is generally predictable one or two years ahead. A forecast for 1986 is also presented.

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Cane, M., Zebiak, S. & Dolan, S. Experimental forecasts of El Niño. Nature 321, 827–832 (1986). https://doi.org/10.1038/321827a0

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