Economic fluctuations appear to result from random decisions.
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References
Farmer, J. D., Patelli, P. & Zovko, I. I. The predictive power of zero intelligence in financial markets. Preprint, http://xxx.arxiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0309233, (2003).
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Ball, P. Stock market traders show signs of zero intelligence. Nature (2003). https://doi.org/10.1038/news030922-6
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/news030922-6