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As a consequence of repeated testing for prostate-specific antigen (PSA), prostate cancer is now the most common male malignancy in North America and Europe (Jemal et al, 2010). Of the 217 730 men diagnosed with this disease in the United States, approximately half were classified as low-risk disease (Stamey et al, 2004; Cooperberg et al, 2007). Recent data from the European Randomized Screening for Prostate Cancer Trial suggest that many of these cases pose little threat of disease progression and that only 1 of every 37–48 men diagnosed by PSA testing may benefit from aggressive treatment (Roobol et al, 2009). Although this number-needed-to-treat may reduce as the length of follow-up increases within this trial, it is likely that overtreatment will still be prevalent for screen-detected cancers.

The concern surrounding the potential for overtreatment of localised prostate cancer has led many clinicians to propose alternative treatment strategies. Some clinicians have advocated active surveillance, but many patients are hesitant to accept this approach because of the fear of disease progression (Denberg et al, 2006). Focal prostate ablation has recently emerged as a less invasive alternative to radical prostatectomy and a more acceptable approach than active surveillance (Sartor et al, 2008).

The objective of focal ablative intervention is to destroy cancerous prostate tissue without targeting the entire gland. High-intensity frequency ultrasound (HIFU), photothermal and cryotherapy are promising techniques that offer the potential of lower morbidity when compared with radical surgery, external beam radiation or brachytherapy. Unfortunately few centres have reported long-term outcomes to validate this approach and there are no reported controlled trials that confirm the efficacy of these treatments (Onik et al, 2008; Challacombe et al, 2009; Lindner et al, 2009; Warmuth et al, 2010).

One major concern surrounding the efficacy of focal therapy stems from the observation that many prostate cancers are not solitary. Depending upon the patient population selected, how the tissue was processed and which definitions are used, as many as 50–87% of prostate cancers have multiple sites within the gland (Meiers et al, 2007). Many of these lesions cannot be detected pre-operatively by biopsy or imaging.

The present study is based on a cohort of men with screen-detected prostate cancer, who then underwent radical prostatectomy as part of a randomised controlled trial (Donovan et al, 2003). Our aims were, first, to estimate the proportion of men with screen-detected prostate cancer for whom focal therapy would be appropriate. Second, to establish whether measures taken during the diagnostic process could be used to identify those men for whom focal therapy would be a suitable treatment of their prostate cancer. Third, to detail the pathological characteristics of tumours suitable for focal ablation.

Patients and methods

Patient population

Data used in this analysis were prospectively collected from 525 men who underwent radical prostatectomy within the ProtecT trial (NCT00632983; HTA 96/20/06; HTA 96/20/99) (inclusion criteria described in: Donovan et al, 2003; Lane et al, 2010), a large randomised trial testing the efficacy of prostate cancer treatment in men detected through population-based PSA testing. Men recruited into ProtecT study were identified from community medical practices and aged 50–69 years at initial invitation with no prostatic symptoms. Men included in this study were those randomised to or choosing surgery after having been diagnosed with prostate cancer following a 10 core trans-rectal biopsy performed because of a single-serum PSA value between 3 and 19.9 ng ml−1, in whom complete pathological records were available at the time of this analysis. Men included in the ProtecT trial were used, as opposed to those from a tertiary center case series, to avoid biasing the sample towards high-risk tumours. The study population is described in Table 1.

Table 1 Radical prostatectomy features of unifocal and multifocal tumours

Pathological analysis

Pathologic assessment of needle biopsy prostate cores and radical prostatectomy specimens was made by specialist urological pathologists using standardized protocols and agreed reporting pro-formas. Prostate biopsy specimens were classified as predicting insignificant disease if they met Epstein's criteria (PSA density <0.15 ng ml−1, Gleason score 6, two cores or less with cancer and no core containing more than 50% cancer) (Epstein et al, 1994) and predicting low risk if they met the following criteria; PSA 20 ng ml−1, Gleason score 6, 50% positive cores, 20 mm cancer and at least 40 mm benign tissue (Kattan et al, 2003; Steyerberg et al, 2007). For each tumour, we calculated the pre-operative risk of indolent disease using the Kattan–Steyerberg Nomogram (Steyerberg et al, 2007) and identified tumours that satisfied the proposed consensus criteria predicting tumour unifocality (i.e., PSA 10 ng ml−1 or PSAD0.15 ng ml−1 g−1, Gleason sum score 6, cumulative cancer volume 10 mm, 7 mm of cancer within one core and 33% of needle cores with cancer) (Sartor et al, 2008).

Radical prostatectomy specimens were completely embedded, mapped and the tumour apportioned between five regions: anterior to the urethra, posterior left, posterior right, posterior apical and posterior base. Tumours located entirely or mostly (no more than 20% of volume in an adjacent region) within one prostate region were defined as solitary tumours. Tumour volume was calculated using a three-dimensional method (Chen et al, 2003). Multiple tumours were identified as those with discrete malignancies separated by one low-power field diameter. The tumour with the most advanced stage, highest grade or highest volume was defined as the dominant tumour. Insignificant tumours in the prostatectomy specimens were classified according to the Epstein's criteria (0.5 ml tumour volume, Gleason score 6, organ confined) (Epstein et al, 2005) and more liberal criteria (any volume, pT2, Gleason score 6, organ confined, no adverse features (e.g., vascular invasion)) (Sengupta et al, 2008; Lee et al, 2009). Solitary single cancers and multifocal tumours with a dominant solitary focus and insignificant secondary foci were defined as those suitable for focal therapy.

Statistical analysis

Measures made before surgery were evaluated for their ability to identify those suitable for focal therapy using univariable logistic regression, a multivariable model determined by backward selection and Harrell's concordance index (Harrell et al, 1982; Catto et al, 2009). For regression, we analysed age of the patient, serum PSA, prostate volume, PSA density, Gleason grade, digital rectal examination findings and measures of tumour extent in the biopsy core. Independence between variables was determined before inclusion (r<0.5) and separate models used for collinear variables. The predictive power of the final multivariable models was evaluated using sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. All tests were two-tailed, performed within SPSS statistical software (Version 18.0, 2010, SPSS Inc., Chicago, IL, USA) and significance was defined as a P-value <0.05.

Results

We report data from 525 men within the ProtecT trial who underwent radical prostatectomy with curative intent. At diagnosis, the average patient age was 61 years (s.d. 5), the average serum PSA was 6.1 ng ml−1 (s.d. 3.6) and the average prostate size was 34.4 ml (TRUS volume, s.d. 15.2). Of the 525 men, 512 (97.5%) harboured Gleason score 6 or 7 disease, 496 (94.5%) had 10 or more biopsy cores assessed and 423 (80.6%) were diagnosed following the first biopsy. Solitary prostate cancers were identified in the prostatectomy specimens of 100 (19%) men (Table 1, Figure 1A). Of these, tumour was located in a single region in 66 and in two adjacent regions in 34 men. The remaining 425 men had multifocal lesions consisting of either a diffuse dominant tumour (200 men, 47%) or multiple cancers (225 men, 53%). In these men, the secondary lesions were insignificant in 33% (73 out of 225) and hence may be suitable for focal treatment (Eggener et al, 2007). Thus, 33% of men (173 out of 525) had tumours suitable for focal ablation (i.e., unifocal significant tumours).

Figure 1
figure 1

Tumour focality in prostate cancer. (A) Flowchart of tumour focality within the samples described within this report. (B) The pathological details of tumours fulfilling the criteria for focal therapy. The thick black line represents the 2% of tumours that are pT3 and Gleason 3+3=6.

Men with unifocal significant tumours had a lower Gleason score (χ2-test, P<0.001), lower stage (P<0.001), fewer cores positive at biopsy (mean=11% of cores had cancer (95% CI: 6–16%)) vs 33% for multifocal tumours (28–38%), ANOVA P<0.001), less disease within these cores (mean cumulative length of unifocal cancer=6 mm (95% CI: 3–10 mm) vs 20 mm for multifocal disease (16–25 mm, ANOVA P<0.001)) and less vascular invasion in the prostatectomy specimen than those with multifocal disease (χ2-test, P=0.06) (Table 1). Of note, multifocal tumours were found more easily than unifocal ones (84% detected at first biopsy vs 73% for unifocal cancers, χ2-test, P=0.007). Multivariable analysis revealed that tumour unifocality was most associated with pathologically defined insignificant disease and tumour volume (P<0.0001). Focal ablation is not recommended for tumours with poorly differentiated components or with capsular invasion (Sartor et al, 2008). In total, 118 out of 173 (68%) of unifocal cancers were Gleason score 6 and pT2. Of these, 69 out of 118 (58%) and 118 out of 118 (100%) were pathologically insignificant according to Epstein's and the liberal definitions, respectively. Therefore, between 56 out of 123 (47%) and 9 out of 123 (7%) of unifocal tumours were Gleason 6, pT2 and pathologically significant, depending upon the definition of pathological insignificance.

Several pre-operative measures were associated with the presence of a unifocal cancer (Table 2). Owing to covariate correlation (r>0.5), biopsy features describing tumour extent (bilateral disease, total and maximal tumour length and percentage of cores with cancer) and insignificant cancer definitions were incorporated separately into models. The likelihood of unifocal disease increased with a high nomogram score (HR 4.3 (95% CI: 1.8–10.5)), in tumours fulfilling the focal treatment criteria (HR 2.4 (1.5–3.8)) and those appearing as low risk on biopsy (HR 2.9 (1.8–4.4)). In contrast, tumour bilaterality on biopsy (HR 0.27 (0.17–0.42)), increasing numbers of involved cores (HR 0.49 (0.04–0.9)) and high Gleason grade (HR 0.6 (0.4–0.9)) reduced the risk of unifocal disease. When compared with other parameters, bilateral disease on biopsy was the feature most strongly associated with multifocal disease.

Table 2 Pre-operative features of unifocal and multifocal prostate cancers

On the basis of this information available following prostate biopsy, 130 (25%) of the 525 men were predicted as being suitable for focal ablation (Table 3, Figure 1B). A review of their surgical specimens showed that 92 (71%) of these men harboured well-differentiated tumours. In total, 39% met Epstein's criteria and 56% met the more liberal criteria for insignificant disease. Overall, 31 (24%) had Gleason grade 4 elements and 14 (11%) had extracapsular extension. Multifocal disease was present in 106 out of 130 (82%) of these men. Of these, the second focus was pathologically insignificant in 61 out of 106 (57%). If these criteria were used to direct focal ablation within our patients, they would have correctly identified 18% of men with clinically significant solitary tumours; but would have also included 56% of men with pathologically insignificant tumours and 26% of men with poorly differentiated or locally advanced cancers (Figure 1A).

Table 3 Pathological features of tumours fulfilling pre-operative criteria for focal ablation

The criteria used to select men for focal prostate ablation did not reliably identify solitary lesions (Concordance index (C-index)=0.50), pathologically significant disease (C-index=0.64–0.71), tumour stage (C-index=0.65), tumour grade (C-index=0.68) or tumour volume (C-index=0.75). Men meeting these criteria were likely to harbour smaller tumours in larger prostates when compared with the other men in the study cohort (Table 3). In fact, the criteria developed to identify men for focal treatment were more likely to select patients on the basis of prostate volume (C-index=0.76) rather than tumour parameters.

Discussion

Our study demonstrates that focal prostate ablation is an inappropriate therapy for the majority of men presenting with PSA-detected localised prostate cancer. We found that measures available following prostate biopsy could not reliably identify men with solitary tumours amenable for focal therapy. Among men who do harbour well-differentiated solitary lesions, the majority are small lesions that are probably best managed by active surveillance.

Consensus criteria developed by experts to identify men for focal prostate ablation mostly relied on prostate weight and tumour volume and thus did not reliably identify clinically significant solitary prostate lesions. Of greater concern, these criteria included as many as one quarter of the men harbouring Gleason grade 4 disease or with capsular invasion (Figure 1B).

When we evaluated all the measures available following prostate biopsy, we found that markers of tumour extent could accurately identify men who should not receive focal prostate ablation, but we were unable to identify reliably those men with solitary lesions who would benefit from focal therapy. For example, when more than 50% of biopsy cores were involved with tumour, we found that most of these tumours (>95%) were multifocal. In contrast, multifocal disease was present in 75% of men with only 1 mm of cancer in one biopsy core. Our data support the concept of template-mapping protocols before performing regional ablation, and suggest the need for formal prospective evaluation of this method.

Our study may be limited in that it underestimates the proportion of solitary or insignificant cancers present in contemporary European or North-American practices. Reports describing these populations, however, reveal a similar proportion of solitary, multifocal or bilateral lesions to that we observed in our data (Table 4). Frequent testing for PSA may find prostate cancers earlier in their natural history, but the anatomical distribution of these cancers appears to be comparable to those identified in the United Kingdom.

Table 4 Previous reports of prostate cancer size and location

In summary, our analysis suggests that the majority of men presenting with prostate cancer following testing for PSA are inappropriate candidates for focal prostate ablation. Men who harbour solitary prostate cancers most often have insignificant disease that might be best managed by active surveillance (van den Bergh et al, 2009), whereas men harbouring multi-focal prostate cancers usually have clinically significant disease that requires more extensive treatment.